First League
Lokomotiv PlovdivHomeDDWDL
0:3Half-time 0:1
LudogoretsAwayWWLW132463
Lokomotiv Plovdiv winDrawLudogorets win
Lokomotiv PlovdivHomeDDWDLLudogoretsAwayWWLW- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.38 0.63 : 1.75
- Favourite
- 64% Ludogorets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 39% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 7.31 | 3.82 | 1.47 | 2.16 | 1.64 | 2.30 | 1.55 | Bet |
 22Bet | 8.46 | 4.48 | 1.38 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 2.50 | 1.50 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 9.20 | 4.20 | 1.35 | 2.06 | 1.69 | 2.44 | 1.46 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 8.46 | 4.48 | 1.38 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 2.50 | 1.50 | Bet |
 Melbet | 8.46 | 4.48 | 1.38 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 2.50 | 1.50 | Bet |
 Stake | 7.80 | 4.40 | 1.36 | 1.99 | 1.70 | 2.37 | 1.47 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Ludogorets to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets prediction: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 9.20 (BC.Game), draw 4.48 (Melbet), Ludogorets 1.47 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.16 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.73 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.50 (22Bet) and no 1.55 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
64%
Our prediction
Ludogorets to win
Double chanceLudogorets or draw
88% chance1.06
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.73
BTTSNot both teams to score
62% chance1.55
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
16% chance6.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ludogorets, full-time Ludogorets
41% chance2.44fair
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets prediction
Our Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets prediction and pick
The Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets prediction leans to Ludogorets: 64% against 13% for Lokomotiv Plovdiv, with 24% left for the draw, in the First League on Saturday, 31 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.38 in total, split 0.63 to Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.75 to Ludogorets. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 43% and both teams to score 39%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets is ludogorets to win, a 64% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.47. That price implies 68%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets.
For a safer line, ludogorets or draw covers 88% of outcomes at 1.06.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv average 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Ludogorets 2.8 and 0.5 across 4.
A low-scoring Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 57% and under 3.5 78%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 69% and over 2.5 at 43%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.73 at 22Bet.
Both teams to score is 39%: Lokomotiv Plovdiv find the net in 47% of simulated matches and Ludogorets in 83%. Lokomotiv Plovdiv keep a clean sheet 17% of the time and Ludogorets 53%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets: 0-1 (16.2%), 0-2 (14.2%) and 1-1 (10.2%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Ludogorets, full-time Ludogorets is the top combination at 41%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.
Every market rated for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 13% / 24% / 64% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win13%9.20
Draw24%4.48
Ludogorets to win64%1.47
Lokomotiv Plovdiv, draw no bet16%fair 6.10
Ludogorets, draw no bet84%fair 1.20
Double chance
Lokomotiv Plovdiv or draw36%2.93
Ludogorets or draw88%1.06
Lokomotiv Plovdiv or Ludogorets (no draw)76%1.22
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals43%2.16
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.61
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.75
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Under 2.5 goals57%1.73
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28
BTTS
Both teams to score39%2.50
Not both teams to score62%1.55
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.45
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37
Team goals
Lokomotiv Plovdiv to score47%fair 2.14
Ludogorets to score83%fair 1.21
Lokomotiv Plovdiv clean sheet17%fair 5.75
Ludogorets clean sheet53%fair 1.88
Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win to nil12%fair 8.70
Ludogorets to win to nil49%fair 2.04
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
0-116.2%
0-214.2%
1-110.2%
0-09.3%
1-28.9%
0-38.3%
Half-time / full-time
Ludogorets / Ludogorets41%
Draw / Ludogorets21.2%
Draw / Draw15.6%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv / Lokomotiv Plovdiv6.7%
Draw / Lokomotiv Plovdiv5.5%
Questions about Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?
The model gives Ludogorets the best chance at 64%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 16.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 43% backs the same picture with less variance.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Lokomotiv Plovdiv find the net in 47% of simulated matches and Ludogorets in 83%.
What time does Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets kick off?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.