First League
Arda KardzhaliHomeDLWD
Mon 2 Nov
Septemvri SofiaAwayLLLL572518
Arda Kardzhali winDrawSeptemvri Sofia win
Arda KardzhaliHomeDLWDSeptemvri SofiaAwayLLLL- Kick-off Mon 2 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.40 1.60 : 0.80
- Favourite
- 57% Arda Kardzhali
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 45% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.65 | 3.64 | 5.03 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.65 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.65 | 3.64 | 5.03 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.65 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.64 | 3.70 | 4.90 | 2.16 | 1.63 | 2.08 | 1.64 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.65 | 3.64 | 5.03 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.65 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.65 | 3.64 | 5.03 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.65 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.64 | 3.65 | 4.90 | - | - | 2.12 | 1.59 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Arda Kardzhali to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia prediction: Arda Kardzhali 1.65 (Betwinner), draw 3.70 (BC.Game), Septemvri Sofia 5.03 (Betwinner).
The best-price payout across the three results is 93%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.20 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.63 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.12 (Stake) and no 1.65 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
57%
Our prediction
Arda Kardzhali to win
Double chanceArda Kardzhali or draw
81% chance1.14
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.63
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Arda Kardzhali, full-time Arda Kardzhali
35% chance2.87fair
Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia odds movement
Arda Kardzhali win1.65-0.02
Draw3.70-0.13
Septemvri Sofia win5.03-0.47
Over 2.5 goals2.20-0.08
Under 2.5 goals1.63-0.02
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 2 Nov, 00:00 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia prediction
Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia prediction, who wins and at what price
The Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia prediction leans to Arda Kardzhali: 57% against 19% for Septemvri Sofia, with 25% left for the draw, in the First League on Monday, 2 November 2026.
Arda Kardzhali are expected to score 1.60 and Septemvri Sofia 0.80, so the total line is 2.40 goals; over 2.5 lands at 43% and BTTS at 45%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia is arda Kardzhali to win, a 57% chance. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.65. That price implies 61%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia.
Arda Kardzhali or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.14.
Over the last 4 matches Arda Kardzhali stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Septemvri Sofia show 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in 4.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia
Under 2.5 goals is rated 57% and under 3.5 78%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 69% and over 2.5 at 43%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.63 at BC.Game.
The chance of both teams scoring is 45%, built from Arda Kardzhali scoring in 80% of runs and Septemvri Sofia in 55%; clean sheets come at 45% for Arda Kardzhali and 20% for Septemvri Sofia.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 14.5%, followed by 2-0 (11.6%) and 1-1 (11.6%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 14.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Arda Kardzhali, full-time Arda Kardzhali leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia
The grid built from 1.60 and 0.80 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Arda Kardzhali to win57%1.65
Draw25%3.70
Septemvri Sofia to win19%5.03
Arda Kardzhali, draw no bet75%fair 1.33
Septemvri Sofia, draw no bet25%fair 4.02
Double chance
Arda Kardzhali or draw81%1.14
Septemvri Sofia or draw43%2.11
Arda Kardzhali or Septemvri Sofia (no draw)76%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 2.5 goals43%2.20
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.42
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.25
Under 2.5 goals57%1.63
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28
BTTS
Both teams to score45%2.12
Not both teams to score55%1.65
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.40
Second-half goal73%fair 1.36
Team goals
Arda Kardzhali to score80%fair 1.25
Septemvri Sofia to score55%fair 1.81
Arda Kardzhali clean sheet45%fair 2.23
Septemvri Sofia clean sheet20%fair 4.95
Arda Kardzhali to win to nil41%fair 2.42
Septemvri Sofia to win to nil17%fair 5.78
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-014.5%
2-011.6%
1-111.6%
2-19.3%
0-09.1%
0-17.3%
Half-time / full-time
Arda Kardzhali / Arda Kardzhali34.8%
Draw / Arda Kardzhali19.2%
Draw / Draw16.5%
Septemvri Sofia / Septemvri Sofia10%
Draw / Septemvri Sofia7.6%
Questions about Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia
Who is favourite in Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
The model gives Arda Kardzhali the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 43% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. Arda Kardzhali find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Septemvri Sofia in 55%.
When do Arda Kardzhali play Septemvri Sofia?
Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia starts at 17:30 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.