First League
Lokomotiv SofiaHomeWDWDL
2:5Half-time 1:2
Botev PlovdivAwayWWWLW332839
Lokomotiv Sofia winDrawBotev Plovdiv win
Lokomotiv SofiaHomeWDWDLBotev PlovdivAwayWWWLW- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.81 1.34 : 1.47
- Favourite
- 39% Botev Plovdiv
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.24 | 3.32 | 2.13 | 1.76 | 1.98 | 1.61 | 2.18 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.71 | 3.41 | 2.46 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.36 | 1.74 | 1.99 | 1.60 | 2.14 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.71 | 3.41 | 2.46 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.71 | 3.41 | 2.46 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.31 | 1.70 | 1.99 | 1.59 | 2.12 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Botev Plovdiv to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv prediction: Lokomotiv Sofia 3.24 (1xBet), draw 3.41 (Melbet), Botev Plovdiv 2.46 (Melbet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 99.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.81 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.00 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.62 (22Bet) and no 2.21 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
72%
Our prediction
Lokomotiv Sofia or Botev Plovdiv (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.62
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Botev Plovdiv, full-time Botev Plovdiv
24% chance4.17fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.39fair
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv prediction
Our Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv prediction for Friday, 30 October 2026: 33% home, 28% draw and 39% away in the First League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 2.81 in total, split 1.34 to Lokomotiv Sofia and 1.47 to Botev Plovdiv. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 53% and both teams to score 58%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv is lokomotiv Sofia or Botev Plovdiv (no draw), a 72% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 5 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Lokomotiv Sofia stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Botev Plovdiv show 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; Melbet pay 1.81.
The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Lokomotiv Sofia scoring in 74% of runs and Botev Plovdiv in 77%; clean sheets come at 23% for Lokomotiv Sofia and 26% for Botev Plovdiv.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.9%, then 0-1 at 8.9% and 1-2 at 8.7%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Botev Plovdiv, full-time Botev Plovdiv is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
Every market rated for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
The grid built from 1.34 and 1.47 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Lokomotiv Sofia to win33%3.24
Draw28%3.41
Botev Plovdiv to win39%2.46
Lokomotiv Sofia, draw no bet46%fair 2.18
Botev Plovdiv, draw no bet54%fair 1.85
Double chance
Lokomotiv Sofia or draw61%1.64
Botev Plovdiv or draw67%1.43
Lokomotiv Sofia or Botev Plovdiv (no draw)72%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.81
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.23
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.49
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.37
Under 2.5 goals47%2.00
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.62
Not both teams to score42%2.21
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.77
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Lokomotiv Sofia to score74%fair 1.36
Botev Plovdiv to score77%fair 1.30
Lokomotiv Sofia clean sheet23%fair 4.35
Botev Plovdiv clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Lokomotiv Sofia to win to nil21%fair 4.72
Botev Plovdiv to win to nil24%fair 4.15
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
0-18.9%
1-28.7%
1-08.1%
2-17.9%
0-26.5%
Half-time / full-time
Botev Plovdiv / Botev Plovdiv24%
Lokomotiv Sofia / Lokomotiv Sofia20.1%
Draw / Draw14.7%
Draw / Botev Plovdiv13.8%
Draw / Lokomotiv Sofia12.2%
Questions about Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia or Botev Plovdiv: which side does the model back?
The model gives Botev Plovdiv the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Lokomotiv Sofia find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Botev Plovdiv in 77%.
When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv and where is the result shown?
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv starts at 17:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.