First League
Cherno More VarnaHomeDLWW
Mon 2 Nov
Botev VratsaAwayDLWD482824
Cherno More Varna winDrawBotev Vratsa win
Cherno More VarnaHomeDLWWBotev VratsaAwayDLWD- Kick-off Mon 2 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.37 1.43 : 0.94
- Favourite
- 48% Cherno More Varna
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.18 | 4.00 | 2.19 | 1.62 | 1.95 | 1.76 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.94 | 3.18 | 4.00 | 2.19 | 1.62 | 1.95 | 1.76 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.90 | 3.20 | 4.10 | 2.22 | 1.60 | 1.97 | 1.71 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.94 | 3.18 | 4.00 | 2.19 | 1.62 | 1.95 | 1.76 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.94 | 3.18 | 4.00 | 2.19 | 1.62 | 1.95 | 1.76 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.96 | 3.20 | 3.75 | - | - | 1.94 | 1.71 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Cherno More Varna to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa are 1.96 for Cherno More Varna at Stake, 3.20 for the draw at BC.Game and 4.10 for Botev Vratsa at BC.Game.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.22 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.62 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.97 (BC.Game) and no 1.76 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
77%
Our prediction
Cherno More Varna or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.62
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.76
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.46fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cherno More Varna, full-time Cherno More Varna
29% chance3.44fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair
Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa odds movement
Cherno More Varna win1.96-0.03
Draw3.20-0.15
Botev Vratsa win4.10-0.10
Over 2.5 goals2.22-0.08
Under 2.5 goals1.62unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 2 Nov, 00:00 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa prediction
Our Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa prediction and pick
Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa prediction for the First League on Monday, 2 November 2026: the model makes Cherno More Varna a narrow favourite at 48%, with the draw at 28% and Botev Vratsa at 23%.
The goal expectancy is 2.37 in total, split 1.43 to Cherno More Varna and 0.94 to Botev Vratsa. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 42% and both teams to score 48%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is cherno More Varna or draw at 77%. The best price in our comparison is 1.22 at Stake, which implies 82%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa.
Cherno More Varna average 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 4, Botev Vratsa 1.2 and 1.2 across 4.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 42%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 58% and under 3.5 is 79%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 22Bet pay 1.62.
BTTS yes stands at 48%. Cherno More Varna score in 76% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Botev Vratsa; Botev Vratsa score in 61% while Cherno More Varna shut them out 39% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa: 1-0 (13.4%), 1-1 (12.6%) and 2-0 (9.6%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Cherno More Varna, full-time Cherno More Varna is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.
Every market rated for Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 48% / 28% / 23% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Cherno More Varna to win48%1.96
Draw28%3.20
Botev Vratsa to win23%4.10
Cherno More Varna, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Botev Vratsa, draw no bet33%fair 3.06
Double chance
Cherno More Varna or draw77%1.22
Botev Vratsa or draw52%1.80
Cherno More Varna or Botev Vratsa (no draw)72%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.22
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.65
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.87
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.17
Under 2.5 goals58%1.62
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.27
BTTS
Both teams to score48%1.97
Not both teams to score52%1.76
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.46
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37
Team goals
Cherno More Varna to score76%fair 1.31
Botev Vratsa to score61%fair 1.64
Cherno More Varna clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Botev Vratsa clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Cherno More Varna to win to nil36%fair 2.79
Botev Vratsa to win to nil22%fair 4.65
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-013.4%
1-112.6%
2-09.6%
0-09.3%
2-19%
0-18.8%
Half-time / full-time
Cherno More Varna / Cherno More Varna29.1%
Draw / Draw17.5%
Draw / Cherno More Varna17.2%
Botev Vratsa / Botev Vratsa13.7%
Draw / Botev Vratsa9.8%
Questions about Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa
Who is favourite in Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
The model gives Cherno More Varna the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 42% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Cherno More Varna find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Botev Vratsa in 61%.
When is Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa and where is the result shown?
Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa starts at 15:00 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.