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Brazil Serie B Round 36 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
Vila NovaHomeDWDLD
2:2Half-time 0:0
JuventudeAwayWDDWD
393229
Vila Nova winDrawJuventude win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
2.12
1.16 : 0.96
Favourite
39%
Vila Nova
Over 2.5 goals
36%
model chance
Both teams to score
43%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Vila Nova vs Juventude odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.382.913.172.561.402.131.64Bet
22Bet2.342.893.382.821.402.101.69Bet
BC.Game2.342.943.352.581.462.241.58Bet
Betwinner2.342.893.382.821.402.101.69Bet
Melbet2.342.893.382.821.402.101.69Bet
Stake2.292.953.302.601.422.201.58Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Vila Nova to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Vila Nova vs Juventude prediction: Vila Nova 2.38 (1xBet), draw 2.95 (Stake), Juventude 3.38 (Betwinner).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.82 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.46 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.24 (BC.Game) and no 1.69 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

71%

Our prediction

Vila Nova or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.16 : 0.96-6.7% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
64% chance1.46
BTTSNot both teams to score
57% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.60fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.19fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Vila Nova, full-time Vila Nova
23% chance4.31fair
First halfFirst-half goal
62% chance1.63fair

Vila Nova vs Juventude prediction

Vila Nova vs Juventude prediction and best bet

Vila Nova vs Juventude prediction for the Brazil Serie B on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model makes Vila Nova marginally ahead at 39%, with the draw at 32% and Juventude at 29%.

The goal expectancy is 2.12 in total, split 1.16 to Vila Nova and 0.96 to Juventude. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 36% and both teams to score 43%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Vila Nova vs Juventude is vila Nova or draw, a 71% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.31 at 1xBet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Vila Nova vs Juventude.

The draw is live at 32%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Vila Nova average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Juventude 2.4 and 1.2 across 5.

A low-scoring Vila Nova vs Juventude? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 64% and under 3.5 84%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 63% and over 2.5 at 36%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 64%, best priced 1.46 at BC.Game.

BTTS yes stands at 43%. Vila Nova score in 69% of simulations against a 31% clean sheet for Juventude; Juventude score in 62% while Vila Nova shut them out 38% of the time.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13.9%, then 1-1 at 13.4% and 0-0 at 12%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Vila Nova, full-time Vila Nova leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 62%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Vila Nova vs Juventude

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 39% / 32% / 29% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Vila Nova to win39%2.38
Draw32%2.95
Juventude to win29%3.38
Vila Nova, draw no bet58%fair 1.73
Juventude, draw no bet42%fair 2.36

Double chance

Vila Nova or draw71%1.31
Juventude or draw61%1.57
Vila Nova or Juventude (no draw)68%1.38

Goals

Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.60
Over 2.5 goals36%2.82
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 15.63
Under 1.5 goals37%fair 2.67
Under 2.5 goals64%1.46
Under 3.5 goals84%fair 1.20

BTTS

Both teams to score43%2.24
Not both teams to score57%1.69

Halves

First-half goal62%fair 1.63
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 4.05
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45

Team goals

Vila Nova to score69%fair 1.46
Juventude to score62%fair 1.62
Vila Nova clean sheet38%fair 2.61
Juventude clean sheet31%fair 3.19
Vila Nova to win to nil35%fair 2.84
Juventude to win to nil27%fair 3.76

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97

Most likely scores

1-013.9%
1-113.4%
0-012%
0-111.5%
2-08.1%
2-17.8%

Half-time / full-time

Vila Nova / Vila Nova23.2%
Draw / Draw20.3%
Juventude / Juventude16.7%
Draw / Vila Nova15.4%
Draw / Juventude12%

Questions about Vila Nova vs Juventude

Who is favourite in Vila Nova vs Juventude?

The model gives Vila Nova the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 32%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Vila Nova vs Juventude?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 36% backs the same picture with less variance.

Vila Nova vs Juventude both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 43%. Vila Nova find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Juventude in 62%.

What time does Vila Nova vs Juventude kick off?

Kick-off is 20:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Vila Nova v JuventudeVila Nova or draw, 71%
1.31Bet