Cuiaba vs São Bernardo prediction

Our Cuiaba vs São Bernardo prediction and pick

Cuiaba are a narrow favourite in the Cuiaba vs São Bernardo prediction, rated 51% to win this Brazil Serie B match on Sunday, 1 November 2026. São Bernardo sit at 20% and the draw at 29%.

Expected goals are 1.40 for Cuiaba and 0.80 for São Bernardo, a total of 2.20, which puts over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams to score at 43%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Cuiaba to win is the main selection, rated 51%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.82. That price implies 55%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, cuiaba or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.16.

Cuiaba average 0.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, São Bernardo 1.6 and 1.6 across 5.

A low-scoring Cuiaba vs São Bernardo? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Cuiaba vs São Bernardo reads 65% for over 1.5, 38% for over 2.5 and 18% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 62%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.63 at BC.Game.

The chance of both teams scoring is 43%, built from Cuiaba scoring in 75% of runs and São Bernardo in 55%; clean sheets come at 45% for Cuiaba and 25% for São Bernardo.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 15.5%, followed by 1-1 (12.4%) and 0-0 (11.1%).

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Cuiaba, full-time Cuiaba leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 63%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.