Brazil Serie B
GoiasHomeLWWDW
Sun 8 Nov
Ponte PretaAwayLLDDL702010
Goias winDrawPonte Preta win
GoiasHomeLWWDWPonte PretaAwayLLDDL- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.63 2.00 : 0.63
- Favourite
- 70% Goias
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 40% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Goias vs Ponte Preta odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Goias vs Ponte Preta yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
70%
Our prediction
Goias to win
1.43fair
Double chanceGoias or draw
89% chance1.12fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.95fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.67fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance6.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Goias, full-time Goias
46% chance2.18fair
Goias vs Ponte Preta prediction
Our Goias vs Ponte Preta prediction and pick
Goias host Ponte Preta on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the Brazil Serie B, and the model has Goias at 70%, the draw at 20% and Ponte Preta at 11%: that is the Goias vs Ponte Preta prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 2.00 for Goias and 0.63 for Ponte Preta, a total of 2.63, which puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 40%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Goias to win is the main selection, rated 70%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
For a safer line, goias or draw covers 89% of outcomes.
The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Goias average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Ponte Preta 0.8 and 2.4 across 5.
How many goals in Goias vs Ponte Preta? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Goias vs Ponte Preta reads 74% for over 1.5, 49% for over 2.5 and 27% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 51%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%.
BTTS yes stands at 40%. Goias score in 87% of simulations against a 14% clean sheet for Ponte Preta; Ponte Preta score in 47% while Goias shut them out 53% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 14.4%, then 2-0 at 14.4% and 3-0 at 9.6%.
With the top scoreline at 14.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Goias vs Ponte Preta; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Goias, full-time Goias leads at 46%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Goias vs Ponte Preta
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 70% / 20% / 11% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Goias to win70%fair 1.43
Draw20%fair 5.10
Ponte Preta to win11%fair 9.43
Goias, draw no bet87%fair 1.15
Ponte Preta, draw no bet13%fair 7.58
Double chance
Goias or draw89%fair 1.12
Ponte Preta or draw30%fair 3.31
Goias or Ponte Preta (no draw)80%fair 1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals49%fair 2.05
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.70
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.87
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Under 2.5 goals51%fair 1.95
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.37
BTTS
Both teams to score40%fair 2.49
Not both teams to score60%fair 1.67
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.02
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31
Team goals
Goias to score87%fair 1.16
Ponte Preta to score47%fair 2.14
Goias clean sheet53%fair 1.88
Ponte Preta clean sheet14%fair 7.41
Goias to win to nil49%fair 2.04
Ponte Preta to win to nil10%fair 10.20
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-014.4%
2-014.4%
3-09.6%
1-19.1%
2-19.1%
0-07.2%
Half-time / full-time
Goias / Goias45.9%
Draw / Goias21.4%
Draw / Draw13%
Ponte Preta / Ponte Preta5.6%
Draw / Ponte Preta4.5%
Questions about Goias vs Ponte Preta
Who is favourite in Goias vs Ponte Preta?
The model gives Goias the best chance at 70%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Goias vs Ponte Preta?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 49%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Goias vs Ponte Preta?
The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. Goias find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Ponte Preta in 47%.
When is Goias vs Ponte Preta and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 22:15 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.