Brazil Serie B
NovorizontinoHomeWWDWW
Sat 7 Nov
Fortaleza ECAwayDWDWD532621
Novorizontino winDrawFortaleza EC win
NovorizontinoHomeWWDWWFortaleza ECAwayDWDWD- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.42 1.55 : 0.87
- Favourite
- 53% Novorizontino
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 46% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
53%
Our prediction
Novorizontino to win
1.89fair
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw
79% chance1.27fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.77fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.85fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.44fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.25fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Novorizontino, full-time Novorizontino
33% chance3.07fair
Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC prediction
Our Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC prediction and pick
The Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC prediction leans to Novorizontino: 53% against 21% for Fortaleza EC, with 26% left for the draw, in the Brazil Serie B on Saturday, 7 November 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.42 in total, split 1.55 to Novorizontino and 0.87 to Fortaleza EC. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 43% and both teams to score 46%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is novorizontino to win at 53%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Novorizontino or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance.
Form check: Novorizontino have won 4 of their last 5 with 12 scored and 4 conceded, Fortaleza EC 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 70%, over 2.5 at 43%, over 3.5 at 23%; under 2.5 is 57% and under 3.5 is 78%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%.
Both teams to score is 46%: Novorizontino find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Fortaleza EC in 58%. Novorizontino keep a clean sheet 42% of the time and Fortaleza EC 21%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC: 1-0 (13.8%), 1-1 (12%) and 2-0 (10.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Novorizontino, full-time Novorizontino is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.
All markets, Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Novorizontino to win53%fair 1.89
Draw26%fair 3.89
Fortaleza EC to win21%fair 4.69
Novorizontino, draw no bet71%fair 1.40
Fortaleza EC, draw no bet29%fair 3.48
Double chance
Novorizontino or draw79%fair 1.27
Fortaleza EC or draw47%fair 2.13
Novorizontino or Fortaleza EC (no draw)74%fair 1.35
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%fair 2.30
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.44
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.20
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.29
Under 2.5 goals57%fair 1.77
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.29
BTTS
Both teams to score46%fair 2.18
Not both teams to score54%fair 1.85
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.51
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.37
Second-half goal74%fair 1.36
Team goals
Novorizontino to score79%fair 1.27
Fortaleza EC to score58%fair 1.72
Novorizontino clean sheet42%fair 2.39
Fortaleza EC clean sheet21%fair 4.72
Novorizontino to win to nil39%fair 2.60
Fortaleza EC to win to nil20%fair 5.13
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-013.8%
1-112%
2-010.7%
2-19.3%
0-08.9%
0-17.7%
Half-time / full-time
Novorizontino / Novorizontino32.6%
Draw / Novorizontino18.3%
Draw / Draw16.7%
Fortaleza EC / Fortaleza EC11.5%
Draw / Fortaleza EC8.5%
Questions about Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino or Fortaleza EC: which side does the model back?
The model gives Novorizontino the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 26%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 43% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Novorizontino find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Fortaleza EC in 58%.
What time does Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC kick off?
Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC starts at 19:10 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.