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Live 19 UTC
Brazil Serie B Round 37 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
CearaHomeWWLDL
Sun 8 Nov
America MineiroAwayLLWWW
532720
Ceara winDrawAmerica Mineiro win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
2.22
1.45 : 0.77
Favourite
53%
Ceara
Over 2.5 goals
38%
model chance
Both teams to score
41%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Ceara vs America Mineiro odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Ceara vs America Mineiro yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

53%

Our prediction

Ceara to win
StrongExpected goals 1.45 : 0.77
1.88fair
Double chanceCeara or draw
80% chance1.25fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
62% chance1.62fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
59% chance1.70fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
65% chance1.54fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.37fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ceara, full-time Ceara
32% chance3.10fair

Ceara vs America Mineiro prediction

Ceara vs America Mineiro prediction, who wins and at what price

Ceara vs America Mineiro prediction for the Brazil Serie B on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model makes Ceara a narrow favourite at 53%, with the draw at 27% and America Mineiro at 20%.

Expected goals are 1.45 for Ceara and 0.77 for America Mineiro, a total of 2.22, which puts over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams to score at 41%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is ceara to win at 53%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

For a safer line, ceara or draw covers 80% of outcomes.

Form check: Ceara have won 2 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 5 conceded, America Mineiro 3 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 3.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Ceara vs America Mineiro

Under 2.5 goals is rated 62% and under 3.5 82%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 65% and over 2.5 at 38%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%.

Both teams to score is 41%: Ceara find the net in 77% of simulated matches and America Mineiro in 54%. Ceara keep a clean sheet 46% of the time and America Mineiro 24%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 15.7%, followed by 1-1 (12.1%) and 2-0 (11.4%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Ceara, full-time Ceara is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 63%.

All markets, Ceara vs America Mineiro

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Ceara vs America Mineiro, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Ceara to win53%fair 1.88
Draw27%fair 3.73
America Mineiro to win20%fair 5.03
Ceara, draw no bet73%fair 1.37
America Mineiro, draw no bet27%fair 3.68

Double chance

Ceara or draw80%fair 1.25
America Mineiro or draw47%fair 2.14
Ceara or America Mineiro (no draw)73%fair 1.37

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals65%fair 1.54
Over 2.5 goals38%fair 2.62
Over 3.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 13.33
Under 1.5 goals35%fair 2.86
Under 2.5 goals62%fair 1.62
Under 3.5 goals82%fair 1.23

BTTS

Both teams to score41%fair 2.43
Not both teams to score59%fair 1.70

Halves

First-half goal63%fair 1.58
Over 1.5 first-half goals26%fair 3.79
Second-half goal71%fair 1.42

Team goals

Ceara to score77%fair 1.31
America Mineiro to score54%fair 1.86
Ceara clean sheet46%fair 2.16
America Mineiro clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Ceara to win to nil43%fair 2.35
America Mineiro to win to nil18%fair 5.46

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-015.7%
1-112.1%
2-011.4%
0-010.9%
2-18.8%
0-18.4%

Half-time / full-time

Ceara / Ceara32.3%
Draw / Ceara19%
Draw / Draw18.4%
America Mineiro / America Mineiro10.7%
Draw / America Mineiro8.3%

Questions about Ceara vs America Mineiro

Who will win Ceara vs America Mineiro?

The model gives Ceara the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 27%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Ceara vs America Mineiro?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 38% backs the same picture with less variance.

Ceara vs America Mineiro both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 41%. Ceara find the net in 77% of simulated matches and America Mineiro in 54%.

When do Ceara play America Mineiro?

Ceara vs America Mineiro starts at 22:15 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Ceara v America MineiroCeara to win, 53%
1.88fair