Brazil Serie B
AvaiHomeWWDLL
Sat 7 Nov
São BernardoAwayLDLWW472825
Avai winDrawSão Bernardo win
AvaiHomeWWDLLSão BernardoAwayLDLWW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.43 1.44 : 0.99
- Favourite
- 47% Avai
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Avai vs São Bernardo betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.32 | 3.96 | 2.08 | 1.69 | 1.87 | 1.83 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.90 | 3.32 | 3.96 | 2.08 | 1.69 | 1.87 | 1.83 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.92 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.06 | 1.70 | 1.84 | 1.82 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.90 | 3.32 | 3.96 | 2.08 | 1.69 | 1.87 | 1.83 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.90 | 3.32 | 3.96 | 2.08 | 1.69 | 1.87 | 1.83 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Avai to win partner prices
BC.Game pay the best Avai price at 1.92, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.32 and BC.Game have São Bernardo longest at 4.00.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.08 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.70 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (22Bet) and no 1.83 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
75%
Our prediction
Avai or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.70
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.83
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.43fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Avai, full-time Avai
29% chance3.51fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.50fair
Avai vs São Bernardo prediction
Avai vs São Bernardo prediction, who wins and at what price
Avai are marginally ahead in the Avai vs São Bernardo prediction, rated 47% to win this Brazil Serie B match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. São Bernardo sit at 25% and the draw at 28%.
Expected goals are 1.44 for Avai and 0.99 for São Bernardo, a total of 2.43, which puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 49%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is avai or draw at 75%. BC.Game offer the top price at 1.21. That price implies 83%, 8 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Avai have won 2 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 4 conceded, São Bernardo 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 8.
A low-scoring Avai vs São Bernardo? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Avai vs São Bernardo reads 70% for over 1.5, 44% for over 2.5 and 23% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 57%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; BC.Game pay 1.70.
BTTS yes stands at 49%. Avai score in 76% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for São Bernardo; São Bernardo score in 63% while Avai shut them out 37% of the time.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 12.7%, then 1-1 at 12.6% and 2-0 at 9.1%.
With the top scoreline at 12.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Avai vs São Bernardo; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Avai, full-time Avai leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Avai vs São Bernardo
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 47% / 28% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Avai to win47%1.92
Draw28%3.32
São Bernardo to win25%4.00
Avai, draw no bet65%fair 1.54
São Bernardo, draw no bet35%fair 2.86
Double chance
Avai or draw75%1.21
São Bernardo or draw53%1.81
Avai or São Bernardo (no draw)72%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.43
Over 2.5 goals44%2.08
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.00
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.31
Under 2.5 goals57%1.70
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.87
Not both teams to score51%1.83
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.34
Second-half goal74%fair 1.36
Team goals
Avai to score76%fair 1.31
São Bernardo to score63%fair 1.59
Avai clean sheet37%fair 2.69
São Bernardo clean sheet24%fair 4.22
Avai to win to nil34%fair 2.92
São Bernardo to win to nil22%fair 4.59
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-012.7%
1-112.6%
2-09.1%
2-19%
0-08.8%
0-18.7%
Half-time / full-time
Avai / Avai28.5%
Draw / Draw17.1%
Draw / Avai16.7%
São Bernardo / São Bernardo14.4%
Draw / São Bernardo10.1%
Questions about Avai vs São Bernardo
Avai or São Bernardo: which side does the model back?
The model gives Avai the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Avai vs São Bernardo?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 44%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Avai vs São Bernardo?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Avai find the net in 76% of simulated matches and São Bernardo in 63%.
When do Avai play São Bernardo?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.