Brazil Serie B
CearaHomeWWLDL
0:2Half-time 0:0
GoiasAwayLWWDW462727
Ceara winDrawGoias win
CearaHomeWWLDLGoiasAwayLWWDW- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.65 1.52 : 1.13
- Favourite
- 46% Ceara
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Ceara vs Goias odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.06 | 3.34 | 3.40 | 1.85 | 1.88 | 1.69 | 2.05 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.15 | 3.27 | 3.34 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.68 | 2.11 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.18 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 1.81 | 1.91 | 1.65 | 2.10 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.15 | 3.27 | 3.34 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.68 | 2.11 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.15 | 3.27 | 3.34 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.68 | 2.11 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.21 | 3.30 | 3.05 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.68 | 2.03 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Ceara to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Ceara vs Goias prediction: Ceara 2.21 (Stake), draw 3.40 (BC.Game), Goias 3.40 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.89 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.91 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.69 (1xBet) and no 2.11 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Ceara or Goias (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.91
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ceara, full-time Ceara
28% chance3.58fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.43fair
Ceara vs Goias prediction
Ceara vs Goias prediction, who wins and at what price
Ceara are marginally ahead in the Ceara vs Goias prediction, rated 46% to win this Brazil Serie B match on Tuesday, 27 October 2026. Goias sit at 27% and the draw at 27%.
Expected goals are 1.52 for Ceara and 1.13 for Goias, a total of 2.65, which puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 54%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Ceara or Goias (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.31 at 22Bet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Ceara average 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Goias 1.2 and 0.8 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Ceara vs Goias
Under 2.5 goals is rated 51% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 49%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.91 at Melbet.
BTTS yes stands at 54%. Ceara score in 78% of simulations against a 22% clean sheet for Goias; Goias score in 68% while Ceara shut them out 32% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Ceara vs Goias: 1-1 (12.1%), 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.2%).
With the top scoreline at 12.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Ceara vs Goias; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Ceara, full-time Ceara leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Ceara vs Goias
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 46% / 27% / 27% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Ceara to win46%2.21
Draw27%3.40
Goias to win27%3.40
Ceara, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
Goias, draw no bet37%fair 2.68
Double chance
Ceara or draw73%1.33
Goias or draw54%1.68
Ceara or Goias (no draw)73%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%1.89
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.64
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.69
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.88
Under 2.5 goals51%1.91
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.69
Not both teams to score46%2.11
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.99
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Ceara to score78%fair 1.28
Goias to score68%fair 1.48
Ceara clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Goias clean sheet22%fair 4.57
Ceara to win to nil30%fair 3.37
Goias to win to nil20%fair 4.98
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.1%
1-010.7%
2-19.2%
2-08.2%
0-18%
0-07.1%
Half-time / full-time
Ceara / Ceara27.9%
Goias / Goias16%
Draw / Ceara15.8%
Draw / Draw15.5%
Draw / Goias10.5%
Questions about Ceara vs Goias
Ceara or Goias: which side does the model back?
The model gives Ceara the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Ceara vs Goias correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 49%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Ceara vs Goias both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Ceara find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Goias in 68%.
When is Ceara vs Goias and where is the result shown?
Ceara vs Goias starts at 23:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.