Standard Liege vs Dender prediction

Standard Liege vs Dender prediction and best bet

Standard Liege are the clear favourite in the Standard Liege vs Dender prediction, rated 75% to win this Cup match on Friday, 16 October 2026. Dender sit at 9% and the draw at 16%.

The goal expectancy is 3.06 in total, split 2.36 to Standard Liege and 0.70 to Dender. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 58% and both teams to score 46%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is standard Liege to win at 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at 1xBet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Standard Liege or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 91% chance, priced 1.03.

The draw sits at only 16%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Standard Liege stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Dender show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

How many goals in Standard Liege vs Dender? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Standard Liege vs Dender reads 81% for over 1.5, 58% for over 2.5 and 37% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 42%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.64.

Both teams to score is 46%: Standard Liege find the net in 91% of simulated matches and Dender in 50%. Standard Liege keep a clean sheet 50% of the time and Dender 9%.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 13.1%, then 1-0 at 11.1% and 3-0 at 10.3%.

With the top scoreline at 13.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Standard Liege vs Dender; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Standard Liege, full-time Standard Liege leads at 51%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.