Challenger Pro League
AS EupenHomeWWLLL
1:2Half-time 1:0
Excelsior VirtonAwayWLLLW612019
AS Eupen winDrawExcelsior Virton win
AS EupenHomeWWLLLExcelsior VirtonAwayWLLLW- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.21 2.12 : 1.09
- Favourite
- 61% AS Eupen
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.48 | 4.30 | 5.04 | 1.48 | 2.33 | 1.58 | 2.21 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.52 | 4.30 | 5.00 | 1.56 | 2.32 | 1.61 | 2.12 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.52 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.08 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
AS Eupen to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton prediction: AS Eupen 1.53 (Stake), draw 4.30 (BC.Game), Excelsior Virton 5.04 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.56 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.33 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.62 (Stake) and no 2.21 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
61%
Our prediction
AS Eupen to win
Double chanceAS Eupen or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.20fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.10fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time AS Eupen, full-time AS Eupen
40% chance2.53fairLost
AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton odds movement
AS Eupen win1.53-0.04
Draw4.30-0.45
Excelsior Virton win5.04-0.46
Over 2.5 goals1.56-0.01
Under 2.5 goals2.33-0.20
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton prediction
AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton prediction, who wins and at what price
AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton prediction for the Challenger Pro League on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes AS Eupen the clear favourite at 61%, with the draw at 20% and Excelsior Virton at 19%.
AS Eupen are expected to score 2.12 and Excelsior Virton 1.09, so the total line is 3.21 goals; over 2.5 lands at 62% and BTTS at 58%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is aS Eupen to win at 61%. Stake offer the top price at 1.53. That price implies 65%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton.
For a safer line, aS Eupen or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.12.
The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches AS Eupen stand at 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Excelsior Virton show 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 62%, over 3.5 at 40%; under 2.5 is 38% and under 3.5 is 60%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; BC.Game pay 1.56.
Both teams to score is 58%: AS Eupen find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Excelsior Virton in 66%. AS Eupen keep a clean sheet 34% of the time and Excelsior Virton 12%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.9%, then 1-1 at 9.3% and 2-0 at 9.1%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time AS Eupen, full-time AS Eupen leads at 40%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton
The grid built from 2.12 and 1.09 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
AS Eupen to win61%1.53
Draw20%4.30
Excelsior Virton to win19%5.04
AS Eupen, draw no bet77%fair 1.31
Excelsior Virton, draw no bet23%fair 4.27
Double chance
AS Eupen or draw81%1.12
Excelsior Virton or draw39%2.32
AS Eupen or Excelsior Virton (no draw)80%1.17
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.56
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.50
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.88
Under 2.5 goals38%2.33
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.67
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.62
Not both teams to score42%2.21
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.36
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21
Team goals
AS Eupen to score88%fair 1.14
Excelsior Virton to score66%fair 1.51
AS Eupen clean sheet34%fair 2.98
Excelsior Virton clean sheet12%fair 8.33
AS Eupen to win to nil31%fair 3.24
Excelsior Virton to win to nil11%fair 9.09
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.9%
1-19.3%
2-09.1%
1-08.6%
3-17%
3-06.4%
Half-time / full-time
AS Eupen / AS Eupen39.6%
Draw / AS Eupen17.9%
Draw / Draw11.3%
Excelsior Virton / Excelsior Virton10.4%
Draw / Excelsior Virton6.8%
Questions about AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton
AS Eupen or Excelsior Virton: which side does the model back?
The model gives AS Eupen the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 20%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 62% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. AS Eupen find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Excelsior Virton in 66%.
When is AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton and where is the result shown?
AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton starts at 18:15 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.