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Live 19 UTC
Cup Round of 32 Friday, 16 October 2026 FT
Sporting HasseltHomeLWWLW
1:2Half-time 0:1
Cercle BruggeAwayLLWLW
212257
Sporting Hasselt winDrawCercle Brugge win
Kick-off
Fri 16 Oct
Expected goals
3.15
1.14 : 2.01
Favourite
57%
Cercle Brugge
Over 2.5 goals
61%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Sporting Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet4.344.301.701.662.221.602.19Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Cercle Brugge to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Sporting Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge prediction: Sporting Hasselt 4.34 (1xBet), draw 4.30 (1xBet), Cercle Brugge 1.70 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.66 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.22 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.60 (1xBet) and no 2.19 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

57%

Our prediction

Cercle Brugge to win
StrongExpected goals 1.14 : 2.01-2.9% against the best price
Double chanceCercle Brugge or draw
80% chance1.22
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.66
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.60
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
10% chance10.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cercle Brugge, full-time Cercle Brugge
37% chance2.72fair

Sporting Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge prediction

Sporting Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge prediction, who wins and at what price

Cercle Brugge are a narrow favourite in the Sporting Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge prediction, rated 57% to win this Cup match on Friday, 16 October 2026. Sporting Hasselt sit at 21% and the draw at 22%.

The goal expectancy is 3.15 in total, split 1.14 to Sporting Hasselt and 2.01 to Cercle Brugge. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 61% and both teams to score 59%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is cercle Brugge to win at 57%. The best price in our comparison is 1.70 at 1xBet, which implies 59%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Cercle Brugge or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.22.

Over the last 5 matches Sporting Hasselt stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Cercle Brugge show 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Sporting Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 61%, over 3.5 at 39%; under 2.5 is 39% and under 3.5 is 61%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.66 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 59%. Sporting Hasselt score in 68% of simulations against a 32% clean sheet for Cercle Brugge; Cercle Brugge score in 87% while Sporting Hasselt shut them out 13% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 9.9%, followed by 1-1 (9.8%) and 0-2 (8.7%).

With the top scoreline at 9.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sporting Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Cercle Brugge, full-time Cercle Brugge is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.

All markets, Sporting Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge

The grid built from 1.14 and 2.01 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Sporting Hasselt to win21%4.34
Draw22%4.30
Cercle Brugge to win57%1.70
Sporting Hasselt, draw no bet26%fair 3.79
Cercle Brugge, draw no bet74%fair 1.36

Double chance

Sporting Hasselt or draw43%2.16
Cercle Brugge or draw80%1.22
Sporting Hasselt or Cercle Brugge (no draw)78%1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals61%1.66
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.59
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.76
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 2.5 goals39%2.22
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.63

BTTS

Both teams to score59%1.60
Not both teams to score42%2.19

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.42
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Sporting Hasselt to score68%fair 1.47
Cercle Brugge to score87%fair 1.15
Sporting Hasselt clean sheet13%fair 7.46
Cercle Brugge clean sheet32%fair 3.13
Sporting Hasselt to win to nil12%fair 8.13
Cercle Brugge to win to nil29%fair 3.40

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-29.9%
1-19.8%
0-28.7%
0-18.6%
1-36.6%
0-35.8%

Half-time / full-time

Cercle Brugge / Cercle Brugge36.8%
Draw / Cercle Brugge17.3%
Draw / Draw11.9%
Sporting Hasselt / Sporting Hasselt11.9%
Draw / Sporting Hasselt7.7%

Questions about Sporting Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge

Sporting Hasselt or Cercle Brugge: which side does the model back?

The model gives Cercle Brugge the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Sporting Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge?

1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 61%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Sporting Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Sporting Hasselt find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Cercle Brugge in 87%.

When do Sporting Hasselt play Cercle Brugge?

Sporting Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge starts at 18:30 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Sporting Hasselt v Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge to win, 57%
1.70Bet