A-League
MacarthurHomeWDL
2:1Half-time 0:0
Perth GloryAwayLLW502525
Macarthur winDrawPerth Glory win
MacarthurHomeWDLPerth GloryAwayLLW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.98 1.78 : 1.20
- Favourite
- 50% Macarthur
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Macarthur vs Perth Glory
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.84 | 3.65 | 1.70 | 2.24 | 1.56 | 2.28 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Macarthur to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Macarthur vs Perth Glory are 1.99 for Macarthur at 1xBet, 3.84 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.65 for Perth Glory at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.70 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.24 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (1xBet) and no 2.28 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
50%
Our prediction
Macarthur to win
Double chanceMacarthur or draw
75% chance1.31
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.70
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Macarthur, full-time Macarthur
32% chance3.15fair
Macarthur vs Perth Glory prediction
Macarthur vs Perth Glory prediction and best bet
The Macarthur vs Perth Glory prediction leans to Macarthur: 50% against 25% for Perth Glory, with 25% left for the draw, in the A-League on Saturday, 17 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.78 for Macarthur and 1.20 for Perth Glory, a total of 2.98, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 60%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Macarthur vs Perth Glory is macarthur to win, a 50% chance. At 1.99 with 1xBet the market prices it at 50%, against 50% from the model.
For a safer line, macarthur or draw covers 75% of outcomes at 1.31.
Over the last 3 matches Macarthur stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Perth Glory show 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 3.
How many goals in Macarthur vs Perth Glory? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.70 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 60%: Macarthur find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Perth Glory in 70%. Macarthur keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Perth Glory 17%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Macarthur vs Perth Glory: 1-1 (10.8%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Macarthur, full-time Macarthur is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
Every market rated for Macarthur vs Perth Glory
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 50% / 25% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Macarthur to win50%1.99
Draw25%3.84
Perth Glory to win25%3.65
Macarthur, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Perth Glory, draw no bet33%fair 3.04
Double chance
Macarthur or draw75%1.31
Perth Glory or draw50%1.87
Macarthur or Perth Glory (no draw)75%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.70
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.87
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 2.5 goals43%2.24
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.56
Not both teams to score40%2.28
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.58
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Macarthur to score83%fair 1.20
Perth Glory to score70%fair 1.43
Macarthur clean sheet30%fair 3.32
Perth Glory clean sheet17%fair 5.92
Macarthur to win to nil28%fair 3.61
Perth Glory to win to nil16%fair 6.45
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.8%
2-19.7%
1-09%
2-08%
1-26.5%
0-16.1%
Half-time / full-time
Macarthur / Macarthur31.7%
Draw / Macarthur16.2%
Perth Glory / Perth Glory14.6%
Draw / Draw13.2%
Draw / Perth Glory9.3%
Questions about Macarthur vs Perth Glory
Who is favourite in Macarthur vs Perth Glory?
The model gives Macarthur the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Macarthur vs Perth Glory correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.
Macarthur vs Perth Glory both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Macarthur find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Perth Glory in 70%.
When do Macarthur play Perth Glory?
Macarthur vs Perth Glory starts at 06:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.