AFC Champions League Elite
Al-GharafaHomeLDDLW
Mon 2 Nov
Al-Qadisiyah FCAwayWWLDW151867
Al-Gharafa winDrawAl-Qadisiyah FC win
Al-GharafaHomeLDDLWAl-Qadisiyah FCAwayWWLDW- Kick-off Mon 2 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.62 1.11 : 2.51
- Favourite
- 68% Al-Qadisiyah FC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 6.05 | 4.87 | 1.48 | 1.40 | 2.84 | 1.51 | 2.39 | Bet |
 22Bet | 5.90 | 4.90 | 1.47 | 1.40 | 2.84 | 1.51 | 2.39 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 6.20 | 5.00 | 1.42 | 1.39 | 2.82 | 1.55 | 2.30 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 5.90 | 4.90 | 1.47 | 1.40 | 2.84 | 1.51 | 2.39 | Bet |
 Melbet | 5.90 | 4.90 | 1.47 | 1.40 | 2.84 | 1.51 | 2.39 | Bet |
 Stake | 5.60 | 4.80 | 1.42 | - | - | 1.51 | 2.28 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC prediction: Al-Gharafa 6.20 (BC.Game), draw 5.00 (BC.Game), Al-Qadisiyah FC 1.48 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.40 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.84 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.55 (BC.Game) and no 2.39 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
68%
Our prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win
Double chanceAl-Qadisiyah FC or draw
85% chance1.14
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
69% chance1.40
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.55
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
88% chance1.14fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
9% chance10.64fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al-Qadisiyah FC, full-time Al-Qadisiyah FC
46% chance2.18fair
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC odds movement
Al-Gharafa win6.20+0.15
Draw5.00unchanged
Al-Qadisiyah FC win1.48-0.03
Over 2.5 goals1.40-0.01
Under 2.5 goals2.84-0.04
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 2 Nov, 00:00 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC prediction
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC prediction and best bet
Al-Qadisiyah FC are the clear favourite in the Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC prediction, rated 68% to win this AFC Champions League Elite match on Monday, 2 November 2026. Al-Gharafa sit at 15% and the draw at 18%.
Expected goals are 1.11 for Al-Gharafa and 2.51 for Al-Qadisiyah FC, a total of 3.62, which puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 62%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win is the main selection, rated 68%. The best price in our comparison is 1.48 at 1xBet, which implies 68%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.
For a safer line, al-Qadisiyah FC or draw covers 85% of outcomes at 1.14.
The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Al-Gharafa stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Al-Qadisiyah FC show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 31% and under 3.5 51%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 88% and over 2.5 at 69%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 69%; 1xBet pay 1.40.
Both teams to score is 62%: Al-Gharafa find the net in 67% of simulated matches and Al-Qadisiyah FC in 92%. Al-Gharafa keep a clean sheet 8% of the time and Al-Qadisiyah FC 33%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.4%, then 0-2 at 8.4% and 1-3 at 7.8%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Al-Qadisiyah FC, full-time Al-Qadisiyah FC is the top combination at 46%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.
Every market for Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Al-Gharafa to win15%6.20
Draw18%5.00
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win68%1.48
Al-Gharafa, draw no bet18%fair 5.52
Al-Qadisiyah FC, draw no bet82%fair 1.22
Double chance
Al-Gharafa or draw33%2.77
Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw85%1.14
Al-Gharafa or Al-Qadisiyah FC (no draw)82%1.19
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 2.5 goals69%1.40
Over 3.5 goals49%fair 2.04
Over 4.5 goals30%fair 3.37
Under 1.5 goals12%fair 8.06
Under 2.5 goals31%2.84
Under 3.5 goals51%fair 1.96
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.55
Not both teams to score38%2.39
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.24
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.07
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16
Team goals
Al-Gharafa to score67%fair 1.49
Al-Qadisiyah FC to score92%fair 1.09
Al-Gharafa clean sheet8%fair 12.35
Al-Qadisiyah FC clean sheet33%fair 3.03
Al-Gharafa to win to nil8%fair 13.33
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win to nil30%fair 3.30
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29.4%
0-28.4%
1-37.8%
1-17.5%
0-37.1%
0-16.7%
Half-time / full-time
Al-Qadisiyah FC / Al-Qadisiyah FC45.9%
Draw / Al-Qadisiyah FC18%
Draw / Draw9%
Al-Gharafa / Al-Gharafa8.3%
Draw / Al-Gharafa5.3%
Questions about Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Who is favourite in Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
The model gives Al-Qadisiyah FC the best chance at 68%, with the draw at 18%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 69%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Al-Gharafa find the net in 67% of simulated matches and Al-Qadisiyah FC in 92%.
When is Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 18:15 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.