AFC Champions League Elite
Tractor SaziHomeDDWL
Mon 2 Nov
NeftchiAwayDLWWL403030
Tractor Sazi winDrawNeftchi win
Tractor SaziHomeDDWLNeftchiAwayDLWWL- Kick-off Mon 2 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.29 1.25 : 1.04
- Favourite
- 40% Tractor Sazi
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 47% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.39 | 3.18 | 3.18 | 2.31 | 1.63 | 1.93 | 1.78 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.38 | 3.17 | 3.17 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 1.93 | 1.78 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.38 | 3.17 | 3.17 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 1.93 | 1.78 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.38 | 3.17 | 3.17 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 1.93 | 1.78 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.36 | 3.05 | 2.95 | - | - | 1.96 | 1.70 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Tractor Sazi to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi are 2.39 for Tractor Sazi at 1xBet, 3.18 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.18 for Neftchi at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.31 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.63 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.96 (Stake) and no 1.78 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
71%
Our prediction
Tractor Sazi or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.63
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.50fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Tractor Sazi, full-time Tractor Sazi
24% chance4.18fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.56fair
Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi odds movement
Tractor Sazi win2.39+0.17
Draw3.18-0.32
Neftchi win3.18-0.37
Over 2.5 goals2.31-0.15
Under 2.5 goals1.63+0.07
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 2 Nov, 00:00 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi prediction
Our Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi prediction and pick
Tractor Sazi host Neftchi on Monday, 2 November 2026 in the AFC Champions League Elite, and the model has Tractor Sazi at 40%, the draw at 30% and Neftchi at 29%: that is the Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi prediction in one line.
Tractor Sazi are expected to score 1.25 and Neftchi 1.04, so the total line is 2.29 goals; over 2.5 lands at 40% and BTTS at 47%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is tractor Sazi or draw at 71%. The best price in our comparison is 1.36 at 1xBet, which implies 74%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
The draw is live at 30%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Over the last 4 matches Tractor Sazi stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Neftchi show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi reads 67% for over 1.5, 40% for over 2.5 and 20% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 60%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.63 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 47%. Tractor Sazi score in 71% of simulations against a 29% clean sheet for Neftchi; Neftchi score in 65% while Tractor Sazi shut them out 35% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%, followed by 1-0 (12.7%) and 0-1 (10.5%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Tractor Sazi, full-time Tractor Sazi leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Tractor Sazi to win40%2.39
Draw30%3.18
Neftchi to win29%3.18
Tractor Sazi, draw no bet58%fair 1.72
Neftchi, draw no bet42%fair 2.38
Double chance
Tractor Sazi or draw71%1.36
Neftchi or draw60%1.59
Tractor Sazi or Neftchi (no draw)70%1.36
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.50
Over 2.5 goals40%2.31
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.05
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.00
Under 2.5 goals60%1.63
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25
BTTS
Both teams to score47%1.96
Not both teams to score53%1.78
Halves
First-half goal64%fair 1.56
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.64
Second-half goal72%fair 1.40
Team goals
Tractor Sazi to score71%fair 1.40
Neftchi to score65%fair 1.55
Tractor Sazi clean sheet35%fair 2.83
Neftchi clean sheet29%fair 3.48
Tractor Sazi to win to nil33%fair 3.08
Neftchi to win to nil26%fair 3.79
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113.2%
1-012.7%
0-110.5%
0-010.1%
2-18.2%
2-07.9%
Half-time / full-time
Tractor Sazi / Tractor Sazi23.9%
Draw / Draw18.6%
Neftchi / Neftchi17.2%
Draw / Tractor Sazi15.2%
Draw / Neftchi11.9%
Questions about Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi
Who will win Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi?
The model gives Tractor Sazi the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 40%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi?
The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Tractor Sazi find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Neftchi in 65%.
When do Tractor Sazi play Neftchi?
Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.