Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Y TiroHomeLDWLL
0:1Half-time 0:1
QuilmesAwayDLLWW562717
Gimnasia Y Tiro winDrawQuilmes win
Gimnasia Y TiroHomeLDWLLQuilmesAwayDLLWW- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.14 1.47 : 0.67
- Favourite
- 56% Gimnasia Y Tiro
- Over 2.5 goals
- 36% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 39% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.61 | 3.38 | 5.28 | 2.33 | 1.48 | 2.27 | 1.55 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.74 | 3.39 | 4.98 | 2.48 | 1.50 | 2.38 | 1.54 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.74 | 3.39 | 4.98 | 2.48 | 1.50 | 2.38 | 1.54 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.74 | 3.39 | 4.98 | 2.48 | 1.50 | 2.38 | 1.54 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.73 | 3.30 | 4.80 | - | - | 2.22 | 1.54 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Gimnasia Y Tiro to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Gimnasia Y Tiro price at 1.74, Melbet lead the draw at 3.39 and 1xBet have Quilmes longest at 5.28.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.48 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.50 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.38 (22Bet) and no 1.55 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
56%
Our prediction
Gimnasia Y Tiro to win
Double chanceGimnasia Y Tiro or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
64% chance1.50
BTTSNot both teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.58fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
17% chance5.78fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Gimnasia Y Tiro, full-time Gimnasia Y Tiro
34% chance2.91fairLost
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes odds movement
Gimnasia Y Tiro win1.74-0.02
Draw3.39-0.27
Quilmes win5.28-0.26
Over 2.5 goals2.48unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.50-0.03
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes prediction
Our Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes prediction and pick
Gimnasia Y Tiro host Quilmes on Sunday, 1 November 2026 in the Primera Nacional, and the model has Gimnasia Y Tiro at 56%, the draw at 27% and Quilmes at 17%: that is the Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.14 in total, split 1.47 to Gimnasia Y Tiro and 0.67 to Quilmes. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 36% and both teams to score 39%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Gimnasia Y Tiro to win is the main selection, rated 56%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.74. That price implies 57%, 1 points over the model figure.
For a safer line, gimnasia Y Tiro or draw covers 83% of outcomes at 1.15.
Gimnasia Y Tiro average 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Quilmes 0.6 and 0.6 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes
Under 2.5 goals is rated 64% and under 3.5 83%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 63% and over 2.5 at 36%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 64%, best priced 1.50 at Melbet.
BTTS yes stands at 39%. Gimnasia Y Tiro score in 77% of simulations against a 23% clean sheet for Quilmes; Quilmes score in 49% while Gimnasia Y Tiro shut them out 51% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes: 1-0 (17.3%), 2-0 (12.7%) and 0-0 (11.8%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Gimnasia Y Tiro, full-time Gimnasia Y Tiro is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 62%.
All markets, Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 56% / 27% / 17% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Gimnasia Y Tiro to win56%1.74
Draw27%3.39
Quilmes to win17%5.28
Gimnasia Y Tiro, draw no bet77%fair 1.30
Quilmes, draw no bet23%fair 4.39
Double chance
Gimnasia Y Tiro or draw83%1.15
Quilmes or draw44%2.06
Gimnasia Y Tiro or Quilmes (no draw)73%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.13
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.58
Over 2.5 goals36%2.48
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 5.92
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 15.15
Under 1.5 goals37%fair 2.71
Under 2.5 goals64%1.50
Under 3.5 goals83%fair 1.20
BTTS
Both teams to score39%2.38
Not both teams to score61%1.55
Halves
First-half goal62%fair 1.62
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 3.98
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45
Team goals
Gimnasia Y Tiro to score77%fair 1.30
Quilmes to score49%fair 2.05
Gimnasia Y Tiro clean sheet51%fair 1.95
Quilmes clean sheet23%fair 4.35
Gimnasia Y Tiro to win to nil47%fair 2.12
Quilmes to win to nil15%fair 6.54
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
1-017.3%
2-012.7%
0-011.8%
1-111.6%
2-18.5%
0-17.9%
Half-time / full-time
Gimnasia Y Tiro / Gimnasia Y Tiro34.4%
Draw / Gimnasia Y Tiro20.1%
Draw / Draw18.8%
Quilmes / Quilmes8.9%
Draw / Quilmes7.3%
Questions about Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes
Who is favourite in Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes?
The model gives Gimnasia Y Tiro the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 27%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 36%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes?
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Gimnasia Y Tiro find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Quilmes in 49%.
What time does Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes kick off?
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes starts at 22:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.