Primera Nacional
Almirante BrownHomeLDDWL
1:0Half-time 1:0
Deportivo MoronAwayWLLLW343531
Almirante Brown winDrawDeportivo Moron win
Almirante BrownHomeLDDWLDeportivo MoronAwayWLLLW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.85 0.95 : 0.90
- Favourite
- 34% Almirante Brown
- Over 2.5 goals
- 28% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 39% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.68 | 2.58 | 2.80 | 3.05 | 1.28 | 2.38 | 1.51 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.82 | 2.89 | 2.72 | 2.97 | 1.37 | 2.28 | 1.59 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.82 | 2.89 | 2.72 | 2.97 | 1.37 | 2.28 | 1.59 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.82 | 2.89 | 2.72 | 2.97 | 1.37 | 2.28 | 1.59 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.80 | 2.75 | 2.70 | - | - | 2.28 | 1.51 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Almirante Brown to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Almirante Brown price at 2.82, Melbet lead the draw at 2.89 and 1xBet have Deportivo Moron longest at 2.80.
The best-price payout across the three results is 94.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 3.05 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.37 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.38 (1xBet) and no 1.59 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
69%
Our prediction
Almirante Brown or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
72% chance1.37
BTTSNot both teams to score
62% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
55% chance1.81fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
16% chance6.37fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
24% chance4.22fair
First halfFirst-half goal
57% chance1.77fair
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron prediction
Our Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron prediction and pick
The Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Primera Nacional on Sunday, 25 October 2026 gives Almirante Brown a 34% chance, Deportivo Moron 31% and the draw 35%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Almirante Brown are expected to score 0.95 and Deportivo Moron 0.90, so the total line is 1.85 goals; over 2.5 lands at 28% and BTTS at 39%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron is almirante Brown or draw, a 69% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.43 at Melbet, which implies 70%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
The draw is live at 35%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Almirante Brown average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Deportivo Moron 0.8 and 1.2 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
Under 2.5 goals is rated 72% and under 3.5 88%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 55% and over 2.5 at 28%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 72%, best priced 1.37 at Melbet.
BTTS yes stands at 39%. Almirante Brown score in 61% of simulations against a 39% clean sheet for Deportivo Moron; Deportivo Moron score in 59% while Almirante Brown shut them out 41% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Correct score: 0-0 leads at 15.7%, then 1-0 at 14.9% and 0-1 at 14.2%.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 57%.
Every market for Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 34% / 35% / 31% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Almirante Brown to win34%2.82
Draw35%2.89
Deportivo Moron to win31%2.80
Almirante Brown, draw no bet52%fair 1.91
Deportivo Moron, draw no bet48%fair 2.10
Double chance
Almirante Brown or draw69%1.43
Deportivo Moron or draw66%1.40
Almirante Brown or Deportivo Moron (no draw)65%1.38
Goals
Over 0.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 goals55%fair 1.81
Over 2.5 goals28%3.05
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.55
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 25.00
Under 1.5 goals45%fair 2.23
Under 2.5 goals72%1.37
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.13
BTTS
Both teams to score39%2.38
Not both teams to score62%1.59
Halves
First-half goal57%fair 1.77
Over 1.5 first-half goals20%fair 4.93
Second-half goal64%fair 1.56
Team goals
Almirante Brown to score61%fair 1.63
Deportivo Moron to score59%fair 1.69
Almirante Brown clean sheet41%fair 2.46
Deportivo Moron clean sheet39%fair 2.58
Almirante Brown to win to nil32%fair 3.16
Deportivo Moron to win to nil29%fair 3.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95
Most likely scores
0-015.7%
1-014.9%
0-114.2%
1-113.4%
2-07.1%
2-16.4%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw23.7%
Almirante Brown / Almirante Brown19.6%
Deportivo Moron / Deportivo Moron17.9%
Draw / Almirante Brown14.3%
Draw / Deportivo Moron13.4%
Questions about Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
Who will win Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron?
The model gives Almirante Brown the best chance at 34%, with the draw at 35%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 28%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron?
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Almirante Brown find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Deportivo Moron in 59%.
What time does Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron kick off?
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron starts at 18:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.