Primera Nacional
Deportivo MoronHomeWLLLW
2:0Half-time 2:0
Ciudad de BolívarAwayWWWLL572716
Deportivo Moron winDrawCiudad de Bolívar win
Deportivo MoronHomeWLLLWCiudad de BolívarAwayWWWLL- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.11 1.46 : 0.65
- Favourite
- 57% Deportivo Moron
- Over 2.5 goals
- 35% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 37% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.64 | 3.26 | 5.33 | 2.52 | 1.41 | 2.40 | 1.50 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.72 | 3.29 | 5.47 | 2.65 | 1.45 | 2.38 | 1.54 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.64 | 3.26 | 5.33 | 2.52 | 1.41 | 2.40 | 1.50 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.64 | 3.26 | 5.33 | 2.52 | 1.41 | 2.40 | 1.50 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.70 | 3.30 | 5.00 | - | - | 2.37 | 1.48 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Deportivo Moron to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar prediction: Deportivo Moron 1.72 (22Bet), draw 3.30 (Stake), Ciudad de Bolívar 5.47 (22Bet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.65 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.45 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.40 (Melbet) and no 1.54 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
57%
Our prediction
Deportivo Moron to win
Double chanceDeportivo Moron or draw
83% chance1.13
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
65% chance1.45
BTTSNot both teams to score
63% chance1.54
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
62% chance1.61fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
18% chance5.65fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Deportivo Moron, full-time Deportivo Moron
35% chance2.89fair
Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar prediction
Our Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar prediction and pick
Deportivo Moron are a narrow favourite in the Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar prediction, rated 57% to win this Primera Nacional match on Saturday, 31 October 2026. Ciudad de Bolívar sit at 17% and the draw at 27%.
Expected goals are 1.46 for Deportivo Moron and 0.65 for Ciudad de Bolívar, a total of 2.11, which puts over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams to score at 37%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar is deportivo Moron to win, a 57% chance. At 1.72 with 22Bet the market prices it at 58%, against 57% from the model.
Deportivo Moron or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.13.
Form check: Deportivo Moron have won 2 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 6 conceded, Ciudad de Bolívar 3 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 62%, over 2.5 at 35%, over 3.5 at 16%; under 2.5 is 65% and under 3.5 is 84%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; 22Bet pay 1.45.
BTTS yes stands at 37%. Deportivo Moron score in 77% of simulations against a 23% clean sheet for Ciudad de Bolívar; Ciudad de Bolívar score in 48% while Deportivo Moron shut them out 52% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar: 1-0 (17.7%), 2-0 (12.9%) and 0-0 (12.1%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Deportivo Moron, full-time Deportivo Moron leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 61%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 57% / 27% / 17% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Deportivo Moron to win57%1.72
Draw27%3.30
Ciudad de Bolívar to win17%5.47
Deportivo Moron, draw no bet77%fair 1.29
Ciudad de Bolívar, draw no bet23%fair 4.42
Double chance
Deportivo Moron or draw83%1.13
Ciudad de Bolívar or draw43%2.05
Deportivo Moron or Ciudad de Bolívar (no draw)73%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals62%fair 1.61
Over 2.5 goals35%2.65
Over 3.5 goals16%fair 6.13
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 15.87
Under 1.5 goals38%fair 2.65
Under 2.5 goals65%1.45
Under 3.5 goals84%fair 1.19
BTTS
Both teams to score37%2.40
Not both teams to score63%1.54
Halves
First-half goal61%fair 1.63
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 4.07
Second-half goal69%fair 1.46
Team goals
Deportivo Moron to score77%fair 1.30
Ciudad de Bolívar to score48%fair 2.09
Deportivo Moron clean sheet52%fair 1.92
Ciudad de Bolívar clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Deportivo Moron to win to nil48%fair 2.08
Ciudad de Bolívar to win to nil15%fair 6.54
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
1-017.7%
2-012.9%
0-012.1%
1-111.5%
2-18.4%
0-17.9%
Half-time / full-time
Deportivo Moron / Deportivo Moron34.6%
Draw / Deportivo Moron20.3%
Draw / Draw19.1%
Ciudad de Bolívar / Ciudad de Bolívar8.7%
Draw / Ciudad de Bolívar7.1%
Questions about Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar
Who is favourite in Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
The model gives Deportivo Moron the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 27%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 35%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
The BTTS yes line is rated 37%. Deportivo Moron find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Ciudad de Bolívar in 48%.
When is Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar and where is the result shown?
Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar starts at 19:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.