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Primera Nacional Round 35 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
Deportivo MaipuHomeWDLWD
3:1Half-time 1:0
Club Atlético GüemesAwayLLWLD
80146
Deportivo Maipu winDrawClub Atlético Güemes win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.67
2.24 : 0.43
Favourite
80%
Deportivo Maipu
Over 2.5 goals
49%
model chance
Both teams to score
32%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.195.3013.601.821.852.781.38Bet
Betwinner-----2.781.38Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Deportivo Maipu to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes prediction: Deportivo Maipu 1.19 (1xBet), draw 5.30 (1xBet), Club Atlético Güemes 13.60 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.82 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.85 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.78 (1xBet) and no 1.38 (Betwinner).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

80%

Our prediction

Deportivo Maipu to win
BankerExpected goals 2.24 : 0.43-5.3% against the best price
Double chanceDeportivo Maipu or draw
94% chance-
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.85
BTTSNot both teams to score
68% chance1.38
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
17% chance5.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Deportivo Maipu, full-time Deportivo Maipu
54% chance1.85fair

Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes prediction

Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes prediction, who wins and at what price

Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes prediction for the Primera Nacional on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Deportivo Maipu the clear favourite at 80%, with the draw at 14% and Club Atlético Güemes at 6%.

Deportivo Maipu are expected to score 2.24 and Club Atlético Güemes 0.43, so the total line is 2.67 goals; over 2.5 lands at 49% and BTTS at 32%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Deportivo Maipu to win is the main selection, rated 80%. At 1.19 with 1xBet the market prices it at 84%, against 80% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes.

For a safer line, deportivo Maipu or draw covers 94% of outcomes at -.

With the draw down at 14%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Deportivo Maipu average 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Club Atlético Güemes 1.0 and 1.8 across 5.

Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes reads 75% for over 1.5, 49% for over 2.5 and 28% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 51%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.85 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 32%, built from Deportivo Maipu scoring in 89% of runs and Club Atlético Güemes in 35%; clean sheets come at 65% for Deportivo Maipu and 11% for Club Atlético Güemes.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 17.4%, then 1-0 at 15.5% and 3-0 at 13%.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Deportivo Maipu, full-time Deportivo Maipu leads at 54%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes

The grid built from 2.24 and 0.43 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Deportivo Maipu to win80%1.19
Draw14%5.30
Club Atlético Güemes to win6%13.60
Deportivo Maipu, draw no bet93%fair 1.08
Club Atlético Güemes, draw no bet7%fair 13.70

Double chance

Deportivo Maipu or draw94%-
Club Atlético Güemes or draw20%3.81
Deportivo Maipu or Club Atlético Güemes (no draw)86%1.09

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%1.82
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.58
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.52
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 3.94
Under 2.5 goals51%1.85
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.39

BTTS

Both teams to score32%2.78
Not both teams to score68%1.38

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.96
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30

Team goals

Deportivo Maipu to score89%fair 1.12
Club Atlético Güemes to score35%fair 2.87
Deportivo Maipu clean sheet65%fair 1.54
Club Atlético Güemes clean sheet11%fair 9.43
Deportivo Maipu to win to nil60%fair 1.67
Club Atlético Güemes to win to nil6%fair 17.24

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

2-017.4%
1-015.5%
3-013%
2-17.5%
4-07.3%
0-06.9%

Half-time / full-time

Deportivo Maipu / Deportivo Maipu54.2%
Draw / Deportivo Maipu22.7%
Draw / Draw11%
Club Atlético Güemes / Club Atlético Güemes2.8%
Draw / Club Atlético Güemes2.6%

Questions about Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes

Deportivo Maipu or Club Atlético Güemes: which side does the model back?

The model gives Deportivo Maipu the best chance at 80%, with the draw at 14%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes?

The BTTS yes line is rated 32%. Deportivo Maipu find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Club Atlético Güemes in 35%.

When is Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes and where is the result shown?

Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes starts at 20:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Deportivo Maipu v Club Atlético GüemesDeportivo Maipu to win, 80%
1.19Bet