CAF Confederation Cup
Réal BamakoHomeWD
2:2Half-time 1:0
ES ZarzisAwayLWLDL572518
Réal Bamako winDrawES Zarzis win
Réal BamakoHomeWDES ZarzisAwayLWLDL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.50 1.68 : 0.82
- Favourite
- 57% Réal Bamako
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 47% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.61 | 3.52 | 4.92 | 1.99 | 1.70 | 1.93 | 1.75 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Réal Bamako to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Réal Bamako price at 1.61, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.52 and 1xBet have ES Zarzis longest at 4.92.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.99 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.70 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.93 (1xBet) and no 1.75 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
57%
Our prediction
Réal Bamako to win
Double chanceRéal Bamako or draw
83% chance1.10
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.70
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.40fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.25fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Réal Bamako, full-time Réal Bamako
36% chance2.77fair
Réal Bamako v ES Zarzis head to head
1Réal Bamako wins
0Draws
0ES Zarzis wins
- 17 Oct 26ES Zarzis1:3Réal Bamako
1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: Réal Bamako scored 3, ES Zarzis scored 1.
Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis prediction
Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis prediction and best bet
Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis prediction for the CAF Confederation Cup on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Réal Bamako a narrow favourite at 57%, with the draw at 25% and ES Zarzis at 17%.
Réal Bamako are expected to score 1.68 and ES Zarzis 0.82, so the total line is 2.50 goals; over 2.5 lands at 45% and BTTS at 47%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Réal Bamako to win is the main selection, rated 57%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.61. That price implies 62%, 5 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis.
Réal Bamako or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.10.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis
On the goal lines Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis reads 71% for over 1.5, 45% for over 2.5 and 24% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 55%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.70 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 47%: Réal Bamako find the net in 81% of simulated matches and ES Zarzis in 56%. Réal Bamako keep a clean sheet 44% of the time and ES Zarzis 19%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 13.8%, followed by 2-0 (11.6%) and 1-1 (11.3%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Réal Bamako, full-time Réal Bamako is the top combination at 36%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
All markets, Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Réal Bamako to win57%1.61
Draw25%3.52
ES Zarzis to win17%4.92
Réal Bamako, draw no bet77%fair 1.30
ES Zarzis, draw no bet23%fair 4.29
Double chance
Réal Bamako or draw83%1.10
ES Zarzis or draw43%2.05
Réal Bamako or ES Zarzis (no draw)75%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%1.99
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.13
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.17
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.48
Under 2.5 goals55%1.70
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score47%1.93
Not both teams to score53%1.75
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.23
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Réal Bamako to score81%fair 1.23
ES Zarzis to score56%fair 1.79
Réal Bamako clean sheet44%fair 2.27
ES Zarzis clean sheet19%fair 5.38
Réal Bamako to win to nil41%fair 2.47
ES Zarzis to win to nil16%fair 6.25
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-013.8%
2-011.6%
1-111.3%
2-19.5%
0-08.2%
0-16.7%
Half-time / full-time
Réal Bamako / Réal Bamako36.1%
Draw / Réal Bamako19.3%
Draw / Draw15.6%
ES Zarzis / ES Zarzis9.8%
Draw / ES Zarzis7.3%
Questions about Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis
Who is favourite in Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis?
The model gives Réal Bamako the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis?
The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Réal Bamako find the net in 81% of simulated matches and ES Zarzis in 56%.
When do Réal Bamako play ES Zarzis?
Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis starts at 17:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.