Zambia Super League
Red ArrowsHomeWDWLD
Wed 4 Nov
NkwaziAwayLDDDD473122
Red Arrows winDrawNkwazi win
Red ArrowsHomeWDWLDNkwaziAwayLDDDD- Kick-off Wed 4 Nov
- Expected goals
- 1.82 1.14 : 0.68
- Favourite
- 47% Red Arrows
- Over 2.5 goals
- 28% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 34% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Red Arrows vs Nkwazi
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Red Arrows vs Nkwazi yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
78%
Our prediction
Red Arrows or draw
1.28fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
66% chance1.51fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
54% chance1.84fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
19% chance5.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Red Arrows, full-time Red Arrows
27% chance3.70fair
First halfFirst-half goal
56% chance1.79fair
Red Arrows vs Nkwazi prediction
Red Arrows vs Nkwazi prediction, who wins and at what price
Red Arrows are marginally ahead in the Red Arrows vs Nkwazi prediction, rated 47% to win this Zambia Super League match on Wednesday, 4 November 2026. Nkwazi sit at 22% and the draw at 31%.
Expected goals are 1.14 for Red Arrows and 0.68 for Nkwazi, a total of 1.82, which puts over 2.5 goals at 28% and both teams to score at 34%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Red Arrows vs Nkwazi is red Arrows or draw, a 78% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
A 31% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Red Arrows average 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded across their last 5, Nkwazi 0.2 and 0.4 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Red Arrows vs Nkwazi
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 54%, over 2.5 at 28%, over 3.5 at 11%; under 2.5 is 73% and under 3.5 is 89%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 73%.
Both teams to score is 34%: Red Arrows find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Nkwazi in 49%. Red Arrows keep a clean sheet 51% of the time and Nkwazi 32%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Red Arrows vs Nkwazi: 1-0 (18.5%), 0-0 (16.2%) and 1-1 (12.6%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Red Arrows, full-time Red Arrows is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 56%.
All markets, Red Arrows vs Nkwazi
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Red Arrows vs Nkwazi, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Red Arrows to win47%fair 2.14
Draw31%fair 3.18
Nkwazi to win22%fair 4.57
Red Arrows, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
Nkwazi, draw no bet32%fair 3.13
Double chance
Red Arrows or draw78%fair 1.28
Nkwazi or draw53%fair 1.88
Red Arrows or Nkwazi (no draw)69%fair 1.46
Goals
Over 0.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 goals54%fair 1.84
Over 2.5 goals28%fair 3.64
Over 3.5 goals11%fair 8.93
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 26.32
Under 1.5 goals46%fair 2.19
Under 2.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Under 3.5 goals89%fair 1.13
BTTS
Both teams to score34%fair 2.98
Not both teams to score66%fair 1.51
Halves
First-half goal56%fair 1.79
Over 1.5 first-half goals20%fair 5.05
Second-half goal63%fair 1.58
Team goals
Red Arrows to score68%fair 1.47
Nkwazi to score49%fair 2.03
Red Arrows clean sheet51%fair 1.97
Nkwazi clean sheet32%fair 3.13
Red Arrows to win to nil43%fair 2.33
Nkwazi to win to nil20%fair 4.98
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95
Most likely scores
1-018.5%
0-016.2%
1-112.6%
0-111%
2-010.5%
2-17.2%
Half-time / full-time
Red Arrows / Red Arrows27%
Draw / Draw23.5%
Draw / Red Arrows18.2%
Nkwazi / Nkwazi11.6%
Draw / Nkwazi9.5%
Questions about Red Arrows vs Nkwazi
Who will win Red Arrows vs Nkwazi?
The model gives Red Arrows the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 31%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Red Arrows vs Nkwazi?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 18.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 28%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Red Arrows vs Nkwazi both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 34%. Red Arrows find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Nkwazi in 49%.
What time does Red Arrows vs Nkwazi kick off?
Red Arrows vs Nkwazi starts at 13:00 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.