Mutondo StarsHomeLLLLD
Mufulira WanderersAwayLDDLL
Mutondo StarsHomeLLLLD
Mufulira WanderersAwayLDDLLNo bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
Our prediction
Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers prediction for the Zambia Super League on Thursday, 5 November 2026: the model makes Mutondo Stars marginally ahead at 45%, with the draw at 30% and Mufulira Wanderers at 26%.
Mutondo Stars are expected to score 1.21 and Mufulira Wanderers 0.84, so the total line is 2.05 goals; over 2.5 lands at 34% and BTTS at 40%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers is mutondo Stars or draw, a 74% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Mutondo Stars average 0.8 goals scored and 3.0 conceded across their last 5, Mufulira Wanderers 0.2 and 1.2 across 5.
Under 2.5 goals is rated 66% and under 3.5 85%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 61% and over 2.5 at 34%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 40%, built from Mutondo Stars scoring in 70% of runs and Mufulira Wanderers in 57%; clean sheets come at 43% for Mutondo Stars and 30% for Mufulira Wanderers.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 15.6%, followed by 1-1 (13.1%) and 0-0 (12.9%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Mutondo Stars, full-time Mutondo Stars is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 60%.
The grid built from 1.21 and 0.84 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Mutondo Stars the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 34% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. Mutondo Stars find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Mufulira Wanderers in 57%.
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.