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Live 12 UTC
Zambia Super League Round 7 Thursday, 5 November 2026 Kick-off
Mutondo StarsHomeLLLLD
Thu 5 Nov
Mufulira WanderersAwayLDDLL
453025
Mutondo Stars winDrawMufulira Wanderers win
Kick-off
Thu 5 Nov
Expected goals
2.05
1.21 : 0.84
Favourite
45%
Mutondo Stars
Over 2.5 goals
34%
model chance
Both teams to score
40%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

74%

Our prediction

Mutondo Stars or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.21 : 0.84
1.34fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
66% chance1.51fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.67fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
61% chance1.65fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mutondo Stars, full-time Mutondo Stars
26% chance3.85fair
First halfFirst-half goal
60% chance1.66fair

Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers prediction

Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers prediction, who wins and at what price

Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers prediction for the Zambia Super League on Thursday, 5 November 2026: the model makes Mutondo Stars marginally ahead at 45%, with the draw at 30% and Mufulira Wanderers at 26%.

Mutondo Stars are expected to score 1.21 and Mufulira Wanderers 0.84, so the total line is 2.05 goals; over 2.5 lands at 34% and BTTS at 40%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers is mutondo Stars or draw, a 74% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Mutondo Stars average 0.8 goals scored and 3.0 conceded across their last 5, Mufulira Wanderers 0.2 and 1.2 across 5.

A low-scoring Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 66% and under 3.5 85%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 61% and over 2.5 at 34%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 40%, built from Mutondo Stars scoring in 70% of runs and Mufulira Wanderers in 57%; clean sheets come at 43% for Mutondo Stars and 30% for Mufulira Wanderers.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 15.6%, followed by 1-1 (13.1%) and 0-0 (12.9%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Mutondo Stars, full-time Mutondo Stars is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 60%.

Every market for Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers

The grid built from 1.21 and 0.84 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Mutondo Stars to win45%fair 2.23
Draw30%fair 3.38
Mufulira Wanderers to win26%fair 3.91
Mutondo Stars, draw no bet64%fair 1.57
Mufulira Wanderers, draw no bet36%fair 2.75

Double chance

Mutondo Stars or draw74%fair 1.34
Mufulira Wanderers or draw55%fair 1.81
Mutondo Stars or Mufulira Wanderers (no draw)70%fair 1.42

Goals

Over 0.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 goals61%fair 1.65
Over 2.5 goals34%fair 2.95
Over 3.5 goals15%fair 6.58
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 17.54
Under 1.5 goals39%fair 2.54
Under 2.5 goals66%fair 1.51
Under 3.5 goals85%fair 1.18

BTTS

Both teams to score40%fair 2.50
Not both teams to score60%fair 1.67

Halves

First-half goal60%fair 1.66
Over 1.5 first-half goals24%fair 4.24
Second-half goal68%fair 1.48

Team goals

Mutondo Stars to score70%fair 1.42
Mufulira Wanderers to score57%fair 1.76
Mutondo Stars clean sheet43%fair 2.31
Mufulira Wanderers clean sheet30%fair 3.36
Mutondo Stars to win to nil40%fair 2.52
Mufulira Wanderers to win to nil24%fair 4.24

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97

Most likely scores

1-015.6%
1-113.1%
0-012.9%
0-110.8%
2-09.4%
2-17.9%

Half-time / full-time

Mutondo Stars / Mutondo Stars26%
Draw / Draw20.9%
Draw / Mutondo Stars16.9%
Mufulira Wanderers / Mufulira Wanderers13.9%
Draw / Mufulira Wanderers10.6%

Questions about Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers

Mutondo Stars or Mufulira Wanderers: which side does the model back?

The model gives Mutondo Stars the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 34% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers?

The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. Mutondo Stars find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Mufulira Wanderers in 57%.

When do Mutondo Stars play Mufulira Wanderers?

Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Mutondo Stars v Mufulira WanderersMutondo Stars or draw, 74%
1.34fair