Zambia Super League
Green BuffaloesHomeWDDWW
Thu 5 Nov
ZESCO UnitedAwayLDWWD393130
Green Buffaloes winDrawZESCO United win
Green BuffaloesHomeWDDWWZESCO UnitedAwayLDWWD- Kick-off Thu 5 Nov
- Expected goals
- 1.93 1.06 : 0.87
- Favourite
- 39% Green Buffaloes
- Over 2.5 goals
- 31% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 38% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
71%
Our prediction
Green Buffaloes or draw
1.42fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
70% chance1.44fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
62% chance1.61fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
58% chance1.74fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.49fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
23% chance4.44fair
First halfFirst-half goal
58% chance1.72fair
Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United prediction
Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United prediction and best bet
The Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United prediction leans to Green Buffaloes: 39% against 29% for ZESCO United, with 31% left for the draw, in the Zambia Super League on Thursday, 5 November 2026.
Expected goals are 1.06 for Green Buffaloes and 0.87 for ZESCO United, a total of 1.93, which puts over 2.5 goals at 31% and both teams to score at 38%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Green Buffaloes or draw is the main selection, rated 71%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Green Buffaloes average 1.0 goals scored and 0.2 conceded across their last 5, ZESCO United 1.8 and 0.2 across 5.
A low-scoring Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 58%, over 2.5 at 31%, over 3.5 at 13%; under 2.5 is 70% and under 3.5 is 87%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 70%.
Both teams to score is 38%: Green Buffaloes find the net in 65% of simulated matches and ZESCO United in 58%. Green Buffaloes keep a clean sheet 42% of the time and ZESCO United 35%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United: 1-0 (15.4%), 0-0 (14.5%) and 1-1 (13.4%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 58%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Green Buffaloes to win39%fair 2.54
Draw31%fair 3.19
ZESCO United to win29%fair 3.40
Green Buffaloes, draw no bet57%fair 1.75
ZESCO United, draw no bet43%fair 2.34
Double chance
Green Buffaloes or draw71%fair 1.42
ZESCO United or draw61%fair 1.65
Green Buffaloes or ZESCO United (no draw)69%fair 1.46
Goals
Over 0.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 1.5 goals58%fair 1.74
Over 2.5 goals31%fair 3.28
Over 3.5 goals13%fair 7.69
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 21.28
Under 1.5 goals43%fair 2.35
Under 2.5 goals70%fair 1.44
Under 3.5 goals87%fair 1.15
BTTS
Both teams to score38%fair 2.63
Not both teams to score62%fair 1.61
Halves
First-half goal58%fair 1.72
Over 1.5 first-half goals22%fair 4.63
Second-half goal65%fair 1.53
Team goals
Green Buffaloes to score65%fair 1.53
ZESCO United to score58%fair 1.72
Green Buffaloes clean sheet42%fair 2.39
ZESCO United clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Green Buffaloes to win to nil36%fair 2.76
ZESCO United to win to nil27%fair 3.70
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
1-015.4%
0-014.5%
1-113.4%
0-112.6%
2-08.2%
2-17.1%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw22.5%
Green Buffaloes / Green Buffaloes22.4%
ZESCO United / ZESCO United16.1%
Draw / Green Buffaloes15.5%
Draw / ZESCO United12.1%
Questions about Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United
Who will win Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United?
The model gives Green Buffaloes the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 31%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 31% backs the same picture with less variance.
Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 38%. Green Buffaloes find the net in 65% of simulated matches and ZESCO United in 58%.
When is Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.