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Live 14 UTC
Uzbekistan Super League Round 26 Friday, 30 October 2026 FT
SogdianaHomeLLDLD
1:1Half-time 0:0
BuxoroAwayLWWDD
442630
Sogdiana winDrawBuxoro win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
3.01
1.67 : 1.34
Favourite
44%
Sogdiana
Over 2.5 goals
58%
model chance
Both teams to score
61%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Best odds for Sogdiana vs Buxoro

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.773.824.091.642.171.592.17Bet
22Bet1.813.773.821.652.101.602.20Bet
Betwinner1.833.703.801.652.101.602.20Bet
Melbet1.833.703.801.652.101.602.20Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Sogdiana to win partner prices

Betwinner pay the best Sogdiana price at 1.83, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.82 and 1xBet have Buxoro longest at 4.09.

The best-price payout across the three results is 94.9%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.65 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.17 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.60 (22Bet) and no 2.20 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

75%

Our prediction

Sogdiana or Buxoro (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.67 : 1.34-7.6% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.65
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.60
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sogdiana, full-time Sogdiana
28% chance3.62fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair

Sogdiana vs Buxoro prediction

Sogdiana vs Buxoro prediction, who wins and at what price

Sogdiana are marginally ahead in the Sogdiana vs Buxoro prediction, rated 44% to win this Uzbekistan Super League match on Friday, 30 October 2026. Buxoro sit at 30% and the draw at 26%.

Sogdiana are expected to score 1.67 and Buxoro 1.34, so the total line is 3.01 goals; over 2.5 lands at 58% and BTTS at 61%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is sogdiana or Buxoro (no draw) at 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.24 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Sogdiana average 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Buxoro 1.4 and 1.2 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Sogdiana vs Buxoro

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 22Bet pay 1.65.

The chance of both teams scoring is 61%, built from Sogdiana scoring in 81% of runs and Buxoro in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Sogdiana and 19% for Buxoro.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, followed by 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.2%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Sogdiana, full-time Sogdiana is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.

All markets, Sogdiana vs Buxoro

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 44% / 26% / 30% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Sogdiana to win44%1.83
Draw26%3.82
Buxoro to win30%4.09
Sogdiana, draw no bet60%fair 1.68
Buxoro, draw no bet40%fair 2.48

Double chance

Sogdiana or draw70%1.22
Buxoro or draw56%1.98
Sogdiana or Buxoro (no draw)75%1.24

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals58%1.65
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.82
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.38
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.05
Under 2.5 goals43%2.17
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55

BTTS

Both teams to score61%1.60
Not both teams to score39%2.20

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.55
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

Sogdiana to score81%fair 1.23
Buxoro to score74%fair 1.36
Sogdiana clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Buxoro clean sheet19%fair 5.32
Sogdiana to win to nil24%fair 4.15
Buxoro to win to nil17%fair 5.78

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111%
2-19.2%
1-08.2%
1-27.4%
2-06.9%
0-16.6%

Half-time / full-time

Sogdiana / Sogdiana27.6%
Buxoro / Buxoro17.9%
Draw / Sogdiana14.7%
Draw / Draw13.4%
Draw / Buxoro10.8%

Questions about Sogdiana vs Buxoro

Sogdiana or Buxoro: which side does the model back?

The model gives Sogdiana the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Sogdiana vs Buxoro?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Sogdiana vs Buxoro both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Sogdiana find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Buxoro in 74%.

When do Sogdiana play Buxoro?

Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Sogdiana v BuxoroSogdiana or Buxoro (no draw), 75%
1.24Bet