Uzbekistan Super League
SurkhonHomeWDDDD
1:1Half-time 0:0
NasafAwayLDWLD222850
Surkhon winDrawNasaf win
SurkhonHomeWDDDDNasafAwayLDWLD- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.43 0.92 : 1.51
- Favourite
- 50% Nasaf
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Best odds for Surkhon vs Nasaf
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.05 | 3.44 | 1.88 | 1.99 | 1.76 | 1.81 | 1.86 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.87 | 3.51 | 1.86 | 2.04 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.73 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.87 | 3.51 | 1.86 | 2.04 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.73 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.87 | 3.51 | 1.86 | 2.04 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.73 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Nasaf to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Surkhon price at 4.05, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.51 and 1xBet have Nasaf longest at 1.88.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.04 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.76 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.00 (22Bet) and no 1.86 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
50%
Our prediction
Nasaf to win
Double chanceNasaf or draw
78% chance1.22
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.76
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.86
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.43fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
13% chance7.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Nasaf, full-time Nasaf
31% chance3.23fair
Surkhon vs Nasaf prediction
Our Surkhon vs Nasaf prediction and pick
Surkhon host Nasaf on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the Uzbekistan Super League, and the model has Nasaf at 50%, the draw at 28% and Surkhon at 22%: that is the Surkhon vs Nasaf prediction in one line.
Surkhon are expected to score 0.92 and Nasaf 1.51, so the total line is 2.43 goals; over 2.5 lands at 44% and BTTS at 48%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Nasaf to win is the main selection, rated 50%. At 1.88 with 1xBet the market prices it at 53%, against 50% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, nasaf or draw covers 78% of outcomes at 1.22.
Form check: Surkhon have won 1 of their last 5 with 2 scored and 1 conceded, Nasaf 1 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 5.
A low-scoring Surkhon vs Nasaf? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 56% and under 3.5 77%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 70% and over 2.5 at 44%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.76 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 48%. Surkhon score in 60% of simulations against a 40% clean sheet for Nasaf; Nasaf score in 78% while Surkhon shut them out 22% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13.3%, followed by 1-1 (12.2%) and 0-2 (10%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Nasaf, full-time Nasaf leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Surkhon vs Nasaf
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 22% / 28% / 50% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Surkhon to win22%4.05
Draw28%3.51
Nasaf to win50%1.88
Surkhon, draw no bet30%fair 3.29
Nasaf, draw no bet70%fair 1.44
Double chance
Surkhon or draw50%1.86
Nasaf or draw78%1.22
Surkhon or Nasaf (no draw)72%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.43
Over 2.5 goals44%2.04
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.00
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.31
Under 2.5 goals56%1.76
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30
BTTS
Both teams to score48%2.00
Not both teams to score52%1.86
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.34
Second-half goal74%fair 1.36
Team goals
Surkhon to score60%fair 1.66
Nasaf to score78%fair 1.28
Surkhon clean sheet22%fair 4.52
Nasaf clean sheet40%fair 2.51
Surkhon to win to nil20%fair 4.98
Nasaf to win to nil37%fair 2.72
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
0-113.3%
1-112.2%
0-210%
1-29.2%
0-08.8%
1-08.1%
Half-time / full-time
Nasaf / Nasaf31%
Draw / Nasaf17.7%
Draw / Draw16.8%
Surkhon / Surkhon12.6%
Draw / Surkhon9.1%
Questions about Surkhon vs Nasaf
Who will win Surkhon vs Nasaf?
The model gives Nasaf the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 28%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Surkhon vs Nasaf?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 44%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Surkhon vs Nasaf both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Surkhon find the net in 60% of simulated matches and Nasaf in 78%.
When do Surkhon play Nasaf?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.