Uzbekistan Super League
Mash'alHomeLLLLL
Sat 7 Nov
SurkhonAwayWDDDD213148
Mash'al winDrawSurkhon win
Mash'alHomeLLLLLSurkhonAwayWDDDD- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 1.83 0.65 : 1.18
- Favourite
- 49% Surkhon
- Over 2.5 goals
- 28% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 33% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Mash'al vs Surkhon
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
80%
Our prediction
Surkhon or draw
1.26fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
67% chance1.50fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
55% chance1.83fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
19% chance5.29fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Surkhon, full-time Surkhon
28% chance3.52fair
First halfFirst-half goal
56% chance1.78fair
Mash'al vs Surkhon prediction
Mash'al vs Surkhon prediction and best bet
Surkhon are a narrow favourite in the Mash'al vs Surkhon prediction, rated 49% to win this Uzbekistan Super League match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Mash'al sit at 21% and the draw at 31%.
The goal expectancy is 1.83 in total, split 0.65 to Mash'al and 1.18 to Surkhon. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 28% and both teams to score 33%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Mash'al vs Surkhon is surkhon or draw, a 80% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Over the last 5 matches Mash'al stand at 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Surkhon show 1 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Mash'al vs Surkhon
On the goal lines Mash'al vs Surkhon reads 55% for over 1.5, 28% for over 2.5 and 11% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 72%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 72%.
Both teams to score is 33%: Mash'al find the net in 48% of simulated matches and Surkhon in 69%. Mash'al keep a clean sheet 31% of the time and Surkhon 52%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
Correct score: 0-1 leads at 18.9%, then 0-0 at 16% and 1-1 at 12.3%.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Surkhon, full-time Surkhon is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 56%.
All markets, Mash'al vs Surkhon
The grid built from 0.65 and 1.18 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Mash'al to win21%fair 4.88
Draw31%fair 3.24
Surkhon to win49%fair 2.06
Mash'al, draw no bet30%fair 3.37
Surkhon, draw no bet70%fair 1.42
Double chance
Mash'al or draw51%fair 1.95
Surkhon or draw80%fair 1.26
Mash'al or Surkhon (no draw)69%fair 1.45
Goals
Over 0.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 goals55%fair 1.83
Over 2.5 goals28%fair 3.60
Over 3.5 goals11%fair 8.77
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 25.64
Under 1.5 goals45%fair 2.20
Under 2.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Under 3.5 goals89%fair 1.13
BTTS
Both teams to score33%fair 3.01
Not both teams to score67%fair 1.50
Halves
First-half goal56%fair 1.78
Over 1.5 first-half goals20%fair 5.00
Second-half goal64%fair 1.57
Team goals
Mash'al to score48%fair 2.09
Surkhon to score69%fair 1.44
Mash'al clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Surkhon clean sheet52%fair 1.92
Mash'al to win to nil19%fair 5.29
Surkhon to win to nil45%fair 2.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95
Most likely scores
0-118.9%
0-016%
1-112.3%
0-211.2%
1-010.4%
1-27.3%
Half-time / full-time
Surkhon / Surkhon28.4%
Draw / Draw23.2%
Draw / Surkhon18.8%
Mash'al / Mash'al10.7%
Draw / Mash'al8.9%
Questions about Mash'al vs Surkhon
Who will win Mash'al vs Surkhon?
The model gives Surkhon the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 31%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Mash'al vs Surkhon correct score: what does the model say?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 18.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 28%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Mash'al vs Surkhon both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 33%. Mash'al find the net in 48% of simulated matches and Surkhon in 69%.
What time does Mash'al vs Surkhon kick off?
Mash'al vs Surkhon starts at 11:15 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.