Uzbekistan Super League
BuxoroHomeLWWDD
0:0Half-time 0:0
SurkhonAwayWDDDD472825
Buxoro winDrawSurkhon win
BuxoroHomeLWWDDSurkhonAwayWDDDD- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.57 1.51 : 1.06
- Favourite
- 47% Buxoro
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Buxoro vs Surkhon
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.00 | 3.38 | 3.65 | 1.93 | 1.82 | 1.73 | 1.95 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Buxoro to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Buxoro price at 2.00, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.38 and 1xBet have Surkhon longest at 3.65.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.93 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.82 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.73 (1xBet) and no 1.95 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
75%
Our prediction
Buxoro or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.82
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.73
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Buxoro, full-time Buxoro
29% chance3.47fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.46fair
Buxoro vs Surkhon prediction
Our Buxoro vs Surkhon prediction and pick
The Buxoro vs Surkhon prediction leans to Buxoro: 47% against 25% for Surkhon, with 28% left for the draw, in the Uzbekistan Super League on Friday, 23 October 2026.
Buxoro are expected to score 1.51 and Surkhon 1.06, so the total line is 2.57 goals; over 2.5 lands at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Buxoro or draw is the main selection, rated 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Buxoro vs Surkhon.
Buxoro average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Surkhon 0.4 and 0.2 across 5.
How many goals in Buxoro vs Surkhon? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Buxoro vs Surkhon reads 73% for over 1.5, 47% for over 2.5 and 26% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 53%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.82.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Buxoro scoring in 78% of runs and Surkhon in 65%; clean sheets come at 35% for Buxoro and 22% for Surkhon.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.3%, then 1-0 at 11.6% and 2-1 at 9.2%.
With the top scoreline at 12.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Buxoro vs Surkhon; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Buxoro, full-time Buxoro leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Buxoro vs Surkhon
The grid built from 1.51 and 1.06 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Buxoro to win47%2.00
Draw28%3.38
Surkhon to win25%3.65
Buxoro, draw no bet65%fair 1.54
Surkhon, draw no bet35%fair 2.87
Double chance
Buxoro or draw75%1.26
Surkhon or draw53%1.75
Buxoro or Surkhon (no draw)72%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%1.93
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.89
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.47
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 2.5 goals53%1.82
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.73
Not both teams to score48%1.95
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.11
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Buxoro to score78%fair 1.28
Surkhon to score65%fair 1.53
Buxoro clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Surkhon clean sheet22%fair 4.52
Buxoro to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Surkhon to win to nil20%fair 4.93
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.3%
1-011.6%
2-19.2%
2-08.7%
0-18.1%
0-07.7%
Half-time / full-time
Buxoro / Buxoro28.8%
Draw / Buxoro16.4%
Draw / Draw16%
Surkhon / Surkhon14.9%
Draw / Surkhon10.1%
Questions about Buxoro vs Surkhon
Buxoro or Surkhon: which side does the model back?
The model gives Buxoro the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Buxoro vs Surkhon?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Buxoro vs Surkhon?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Buxoro find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Surkhon in 65%.
What time does Buxoro vs Surkhon kick off?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.