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Live 25 UTC
Uzbekistan Super League Round 27 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
NeftchiHomeDLWWL
Sun 8 Nov
OlmaliqAwayWDWWW
542224
Neftchi winDrawOlmaliq win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
3.16
1.93 : 1.23
Favourite
54%
Neftchi
Over 2.5 goals
61%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Neftchi vs Olmaliq odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

54%

Our prediction

Neftchi to win
StrongExpected goals 1.93 : 1.23
1.86fair
Double chanceNeftchi or Olmaliq (no draw)
78% chance1.29fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.64fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.66fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Neftchi, full-time Neftchi
34% chance2.94fair

Neftchi vs Olmaliq prediction

Neftchi vs Olmaliq prediction, who wins and at what price

Neftchi are a narrow favourite in the Neftchi vs Olmaliq prediction, rated 54% to win this Uzbekistan Super League match on Sunday, 8 November 2026. Olmaliq sit at 24% and the draw at 22%.

Expected goals are 1.93 for Neftchi and 1.23 for Olmaliq, a total of 3.16, which puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 60%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Neftchi vs Olmaliq is neftchi to win, a 54% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Neftchi or Olmaliq (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance.

Neftchi average 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, Olmaliq 1.8 and 1.0 across 5.

Neftchi vs Olmaliq over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Neftchi vs Olmaliq reads 82% for over 1.5, 61% for over 2.5 and 39% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 39%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 61%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from Neftchi scoring in 86% of runs and Olmaliq in 71%; clean sheets come at 29% for Neftchi and 15% for Olmaliq.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Neftchi vs Olmaliq: 1-1 (10.1%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.2%).

With the top scoreline at 10.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Neftchi vs Olmaliq; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Neftchi, full-time Neftchi leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Neftchi vs Olmaliq

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Neftchi vs Olmaliq, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Neftchi to win54%fair 1.86
Draw22%fair 4.50
Olmaliq to win24%fair 4.15
Neftchi, draw no bet69%fair 1.45
Olmaliq, draw no bet31%fair 3.23

Double chance

Neftchi or draw76%fair 1.32
Olmaliq or draw46%fair 2.16
Neftchi or Olmaliq (no draw)78%fair 1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals61%fair 1.64
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.57
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.72
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.65
Under 2.5 goals39%fair 2.55
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.64

BTTS

Both teams to score60%fair 1.66
Not both teams to score40%fair 2.51

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.40
Second-half goal82%fair 1.21

Team goals

Neftchi to score86%fair 1.17
Olmaliq to score71%fair 1.41
Neftchi clean sheet29%fair 3.42
Olmaliq clean sheet15%fair 6.90
Neftchi to win to nil27%fair 3.72
Olmaliq to win to nil13%fair 7.46

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.1%
2-19.7%
1-08.2%
2-07.9%
3-16.3%
1-26.2%

Half-time / full-time

Neftchi / Neftchi34%
Draw / Neftchi16.5%
Olmaliq / Olmaliq13.8%
Draw / Draw12.2%
Draw / Olmaliq8.6%

Questions about Neftchi vs Olmaliq

Neftchi or Olmaliq: which side does the model back?

The model gives Neftchi the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Neftchi vs Olmaliq correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 61%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Neftchi vs Olmaliq both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Neftchi find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Olmaliq in 71%.

When is Neftchi vs Olmaliq and where is the result shown?

Neftchi vs Olmaliq starts at 11:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Neftchi v OlmaliqNeftchi to win, 54%
1.86fair