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Uzbekistan Super League Round 27 Friday, 6 November 2026 Kick-off
SogdianaHomeLLDLD
Fri 6 Nov
Dinamo SamarqandAwayLLDW
392338
Sogdiana winDrawDinamo Samarqand win
Kick-off
Fri 6 Nov
Expected goals
3.36
1.69 : 1.67
Favourite
39%
Sogdiana
Over 2.5 goals
65%
model chance
Both teams to score
66%
model chance
Prices compared
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awaiting lines

Sogdiana vs Dinamo Samarqand odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Sogdiana vs Dinamo Samarqand yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

77%

Our prediction

Sogdiana or Dinamo Samarqand (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.69 : 1.67
1.29fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.53fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.51fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sogdiana, full-time Sogdiana
24% chance4.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.28fair

Sogdiana vs Dinamo Samarqand prediction

Sogdiana vs Dinamo Samarqand prediction and best bet

Sogdiana vs Dinamo Samarqand prediction for the Uzbekistan Super League on Friday, 6 November 2026: the model calls it close, Sogdiana 39%, draw 23%, Dinamo Samarqand 38%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Sogdiana are expected to score 1.69 and Dinamo Samarqand 1.67, so the total line is 3.36 goals; over 2.5 lands at 65% and BTTS at 66%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Sogdiana vs Dinamo Samarqand is sogdiana or Dinamo Samarqand (no draw), a 77% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Over the last 5 matches Sogdiana stand at 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Dinamo Samarqand show 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 4.

Goals forecast for Sogdiana vs Dinamo Samarqand with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 35% and under 3.5 57%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 85% and over 2.5 at 65%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%.

Both teams to score is 66%: Sogdiana find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Dinamo Samarqand in 81%. Sogdiana keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and Dinamo Samarqand 19%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.8%, followed by 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.2%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sogdiana, full-time Sogdiana leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Sogdiana vs Dinamo Samarqand

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Sogdiana vs Dinamo Samarqand, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Sogdiana to win39%fair 2.56
Draw23%fair 4.39
Dinamo Samarqand to win38%fair 2.61
Sogdiana, draw no bet51%fair 1.98
Dinamo Samarqand, draw no bet50%fair 2.02

Double chance

Sogdiana or draw62%fair 1.62
Dinamo Samarqand or draw61%fair 1.64
Sogdiana or Dinamo Samarqand (no draw)77%fair 1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%fair 1.53
Over 3.5 goals43%fair 2.31
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 4.03
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.62
Under 2.5 goals35%fair 2.89
Under 3.5 goals57%fair 1.76

BTTS

Both teams to score66%fair 1.51
Not both teams to score34%fair 2.97

Halves

First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.24
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19

Team goals

Sogdiana to score82%fair 1.23
Dinamo Samarqand to score81%fair 1.23
Sogdiana clean sheet19%fair 5.32
Dinamo Samarqand clean sheet19%fair 5.41
Sogdiana to win to nil17%fair 5.78
Dinamo Samarqand to win to nil17%fair 5.88

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.8%
2-18.3%
1-28.2%
2-26.9%
1-05.9%
0-15.8%

Half-time / full-time

Sogdiana / Sogdiana23.6%
Dinamo Samarqand / Dinamo Samarqand23%
Draw / Sogdiana12.5%
Draw / Dinamo Samarqand12.3%
Draw / Draw11.8%

Questions about Sogdiana vs Dinamo Samarqand

Who will win Sogdiana vs Dinamo Samarqand?

The model gives Sogdiana the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 23%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Sogdiana vs Dinamo Samarqand correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 65% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Sogdiana vs Dinamo Samarqand?

The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. Sogdiana find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Dinamo Samarqand in 81%.

When do Sogdiana play Dinamo Samarqand?

Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Sogdiana v Dinamo SamarqandSogdiana or Dinamo Samarqand (no draw), 77%
1.29fair