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Live 30 UTC
Uzbekistan Super League Round 27 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
BuxoroHomeLWWDD
Sun 8 Nov
NasafAwayLDWLD
342640
Buxoro winDrawNasaf win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
2.62
1.24 : 1.38
Favourite
40%
Nasaf
Over 2.5 goals
49%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Buxoro vs Nasaf betting odds by bookmaker

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Buxoro vs Nasaf yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

74%

Our prediction

Buxoro or Nasaf (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.24 : 1.38
1.36fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.95fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.88fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Nasaf, full-time Nasaf
24% chance4.22fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair

Buxoro vs Nasaf prediction

Our Buxoro vs Nasaf prediction and pick

The Buxoro vs Nasaf prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Uzbekistan Super League on Sunday, 8 November 2026 gives Buxoro a 34% chance, Nasaf 40% and the draw 26%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

Buxoro are expected to score 1.24 and Nasaf 1.38, so the total line is 2.62 goals; over 2.5 lands at 49% and BTTS at 53%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Buxoro or Nasaf (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Form check: Buxoro have won 2 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 6 conceded, Nasaf 1 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Buxoro vs Nasaf

Under 2.5 goals is rated 51% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 49%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%.

Both teams to score is 53%: Buxoro find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Nasaf in 75%. Buxoro keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Nasaf 29%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Buxoro vs Nasaf: 1-1 (12.5%), 0-1 (10%) and 1-0 (9%).

With the top scoreline at 12.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Buxoro vs Nasaf; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Nasaf, full-time Nasaf leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Buxoro vs Nasaf

The grid built from 1.24 and 1.38 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Buxoro to win34%fair 2.98
Draw26%fair 3.82
Nasaf to win40%fair 2.49
Buxoro, draw no bet46%fair 2.20
Nasaf, draw no bet55%fair 1.83

Double chance

Buxoro or draw60%fair 1.67
Nasaf or draw66%fair 1.51
Buxoro or Nasaf (no draw)74%fair 1.36

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals49%fair 2.05
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.73
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 8.00
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.79
Under 2.5 goals51%fair 1.95
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.37

BTTS

Both teams to score53%fair 1.88
Not both teams to score47%fair 2.14

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.03
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31

Team goals

Buxoro to score71%fair 1.41
Nasaf to score75%fair 1.34
Buxoro clean sheet25%fair 3.97
Nasaf clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Buxoro to win to nil23%fair 4.33
Nasaf to win to nil27%fair 3.76

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
0-110%
1-09%
1-28.6%
2-17.7%
0-07.3%

Half-time / full-time

Nasaf / Nasaf23.7%
Buxoro / Buxoro19.4%
Draw / Draw15.9%
Draw / Nasaf14.2%
Draw / Buxoro12.3%

Questions about Buxoro vs Nasaf

Who is favourite in Buxoro vs Nasaf?

The model gives Nasaf the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Buxoro vs Nasaf correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 49%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Buxoro vs Nasaf both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Buxoro find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Nasaf in 75%.

What time does Buxoro vs Nasaf kick off?

Buxoro vs Nasaf starts at 11:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Buxoro v NasafBuxoro or Nasaf (no draw), 74%
1.36fair