Uruguay Segunda División
OrientalHomeDLDLD
1:1Half-time 0:1
PaysanduAwayLWWWD502525
Oriental winDrawPaysandu win
OrientalHomeDLDLDPaysanduAwayLWWWD- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.70 1.63 : 1.07
- Favourite
- 50% Oriental
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Oriental vs Paysandu odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.85 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.73 | 1.95 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.84 | 3.32 | 3.78 | 1.90 | 1.77 | 1.77 | 1.90 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 1.94 | 1.79 | 1.77 | 1.87 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.84 | 3.32 | 3.78 | 1.90 | 1.77 | 1.77 | 1.90 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.84 | 3.32 | 3.78 | 1.90 | 1.77 | 1.77 | 1.90 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Oriental to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Oriental vs Paysandu prediction: Oriental 1.85 (BC.Game), draw 3.40 (1xBet), Paysandu 3.85 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 91.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.94 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.83 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.77 (22Bet) and no 1.95 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
50%
Our prediction
Oriental to win
Double chanceOriental or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.55fairWon
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Oriental, full-time Oriental
31% chance3.24fairLost
Oriental vs Paysandu odds movement
Oriental win1.85-0.03
Draw3.40-0.30
Paysandu win3.85-0.02
Over 2.5 goals1.94unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.83-0.12
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Oriental vs Paysandu prediction
Oriental vs Paysandu prediction and best bet
The Oriental vs Paysandu prediction leans to Oriental: 50% against 25% for Paysandu, with 25% left for the draw, in the Uruguay Segunda División on Sunday, 1 November 2026.
Expected goals are 1.63 for Oriental and 1.07 for Paysandu, a total of 2.70, which puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 53%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Oriental to win is the main selection, rated 50%. At 1.85 with BC.Game the market prices it at 54%, against 50% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Oriental vs Paysandu.
For a safer line, oriental or draw covers 76% of outcomes at 1.20.
Oriental average 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Paysandu 1.4 and 1.0 across 5.
Oriental vs Paysandu goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 50% and under 3.5 71%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 75% and over 2.5 at 51%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.94 at BC.Game.
The chance of both teams scoring is 53%, built from Oriental scoring in 80% of runs and Paysandu in 66%; clean sheets come at 34% for Oriental and 20% for Paysandu.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Oriental vs Paysandu: 1-1 (11.7%), 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Oriental, full-time Oriental leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Oriental vs Paysandu
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 50% / 25% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Oriental to win50%1.85
Draw25%3.40
Paysandu to win25%3.85
Oriental, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Paysandu, draw no bet33%fair 3.05
Double chance
Oriental or draw76%1.20
Paysandu or draw50%1.81
Oriental or Paysandu (no draw)75%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals51%1.94
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.50
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.30
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.02
Under 2.5 goals50%1.83
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.40
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.77
Not both teams to score47%1.95
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.92
Second-half goal77%fair 1.29
Team goals
Oriental to score80%fair 1.24
Paysandu to score66%fair 1.52
Oriental clean sheet34%fair 2.92
Paysandu clean sheet20%fair 5.10
Oriental to win to nil32%fair 3.16
Paysandu to win to nil18%fair 5.56
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.7%
1-011%
2-19.6%
2-08.9%
0-17.2%
0-06.7%
Half-time / full-time
Oriental / Oriental30.9%
Draw / Oriental16.8%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Paysandu / Paysandu14%
Draw / Paysandu9.4%
Questions about Oriental vs Paysandu
Who will win Oriental vs Paysandu?
The model gives Oriental the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Oriental vs Paysandu?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 51% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Oriental vs Paysandu?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Oriental find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Paysandu in 66%.
When is Oriental vs Paysandu and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.