Skip to the predictions
Live 33 UTC
Copa Uruguay Round of 16 Thursday, 5 November 2026 Kick-off
GladiadorHome
Thu 5 Nov
Liverpool MontevideoAwayDWWWW
262747
Gladiador winDrawLiverpool Montevideo win
Kick-off
Thu 5 Nov
Expected goals
2.44
0.99 : 1.45
Favourite
48%
Liverpool Montevideo
Over 2.5 goals
44%
model chance
Both teams to score
48%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Gladiador vs Liverpool Montevideo odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

74%

Our prediction

Liverpool Montevideo or draw
LeanExpected goals 0.99 : 1.45
1.35fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.79fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.93fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.43fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Liverpool Montevideo, full-time Liverpool Montevideo
29% chance3.48fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.50fair

Gladiador vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction

Gladiador vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction, who wins and at what price

Liverpool Montevideo are marginally ahead in the Gladiador vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction, rated 48% to win this Copa Uruguay match on Thursday, 5 November 2026. Gladiador sit at 26% and the draw at 27%.

The goal expectancy is 2.44 in total, split 0.99 to Gladiador and 1.45 to Liverpool Montevideo. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 44% and both teams to score 48%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is liverpool Montevideo or draw at 74%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Gladiador vs Liverpool Montevideo

On the goal lines Gladiador vs Liverpool Montevideo reads 70% for over 1.5, 44% for over 2.5 and 23% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 56%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%.

BTTS yes stands at 48%. Gladiador score in 63% of simulations against a 37% clean sheet for Liverpool Montevideo; Liverpool Montevideo score in 77% while Gladiador shut them out 24% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 12.6%, followed by 1-1 (12.5%) and 0-2 (9.2%).

With the top scoreline at 12.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Gladiador vs Liverpool Montevideo; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Liverpool Montevideo, full-time Liverpool Montevideo is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.

All markets, Gladiador vs Liverpool Montevideo

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Gladiador vs Liverpool Montevideo, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Gladiador to win26%fair 3.85
Draw27%fair 3.77
Liverpool Montevideo to win48%fair 2.10
Gladiador, draw no bet35%fair 2.83
Liverpool Montevideo, draw no bet65%fair 1.55

Double chance

Gladiador or draw53%fair 1.90
Liverpool Montevideo or draw74%fair 1.35
Gladiador or Liverpool Montevideo (no draw)74%fair 1.36

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.43
Over 2.5 goals44%fair 2.26
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.35
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.90
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.33
Under 2.5 goals56%fair 1.79
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30

BTTS

Both teams to score48%fair 2.07
Not both teams to score52%fair 1.93

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.33
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35

Team goals

Gladiador to score63%fair 1.59
Liverpool Montevideo to score77%fair 1.31
Gladiador clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Liverpool Montevideo clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Gladiador to win to nil22%fair 4.63
Liverpool Montevideo to win to nil34%fair 2.92

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

0-112.6%
1-112.5%
0-29.2%
1-29.1%
0-08.7%
1-08.6%

Half-time / full-time

Liverpool Montevideo / Liverpool Montevideo28.7%
Draw / Draw17%
Draw / Liverpool Montevideo16.8%
Gladiador / Gladiador14.3%
Draw / Gladiador10%

Questions about Gladiador vs Liverpool Montevideo

Who will win Gladiador vs Liverpool Montevideo?

The model gives Liverpool Montevideo the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Gladiador vs Liverpool Montevideo?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 44%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Gladiador vs Liverpool Montevideo both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Gladiador find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Liverpool Montevideo in 77%.

What time does Gladiador vs Liverpool Montevideo kick off?

Gladiador vs Liverpool Montevideo starts at 21:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Gladiador v Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo or draw, 74%
1.35fair