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Türkiye Kupası 3rd Round Tuesday, 27 October 2026 FT
SarıyerHomeLDLWL
1:0Half-time 0:0
AyvalikgucuAwayWL
671914
Sarıyer winDrawAyvalikgucu win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
3.18
2.25 : 0.93
Favourite
67%
Sarıyer
Over 2.5 goals
62%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.444.336.481.532.211.712.02Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Sarıyer to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu are 1.44 for Sarıyer at 1xBet, 4.33 for the draw at 1xBet and 6.48 for Ayvalikgucu at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.53 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.21 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.71 (1xBet) and no 2.02 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

67%

Our prediction

Sarıyer to win
BankerExpected goals 2.25 : 0.93-3.7% against the best price
Double chanceSarıyer or draw
86% chance1.08
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.53
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance9.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sarıyer, full-time Sarıyer
45% chance2.24fair

Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu prediction

Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu prediction and best bet

Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu prediction for the Türkiye Kupası on Tuesday, 27 October 2026: the model makes Sarıyer the clear favourite at 67%, with the draw at 19% and Ayvalikgucu at 15%.

Sarıyer are expected to score 2.25 and Ayvalikgucu 0.93, so the total line is 3.18 goals; over 2.5 lands at 62% and BTTS at 53%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is sarıyer to win at 67%. At 1.44 with 1xBet the market prices it at 69%, against 67% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu.

Sarıyer or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 86% chance, priced 1.08.

The draw sits at only 19%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Goals forecast for Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 38% and under 3.5 61%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 83% and over 2.5 at 62%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; 1xBet pay 1.53.

The chance of both teams scoring is 53%, built from Sarıyer scoring in 90% of runs and Ayvalikgucu in 61%; clean sheets come at 40% for Sarıyer and 11% for Ayvalikgucu.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 10.5%, followed by 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.4%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Sarıyer, full-time Sarıyer is the top combination at 45%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.

All markets, Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Sarıyer to win67%1.44
Draw19%4.33
Ayvalikgucu to win15%6.48
Sarıyer, draw no bet82%fair 1.22
Ayvalikgucu, draw no bet18%fair 5.62

Double chance

Sarıyer or draw86%1.08
Ayvalikgucu or draw33%2.60
Sarıyer or Ayvalikgucu (no draw)81%1.18

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals62%1.53
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.54
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.63
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.75
Under 2.5 goals38%2.21
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.65

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.71
Not both teams to score47%2.02

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.39
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21

Team goals

Sarıyer to score90%fair 1.12
Ayvalikgucu to score61%fair 1.65
Sarıyer clean sheet40%fair 2.53
Ayvalikgucu clean sheet11%fair 9.52
Sarıyer to win to nil36%fair 2.75
Ayvalikgucu to win to nil10%fair 10.31

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-010.5%
2-19.8%
1-09.4%
1-18.7%
3-07.9%
3-17.3%

Half-time / full-time

Sarıyer / Sarıyer44.7%
Draw / Sarıyer19.1%
Draw / Draw10.6%
Ayvalikgucu / Ayvalikgucu7.7%
Draw / Ayvalikgucu5.4%

Questions about Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu

Sarıyer or Ayvalikgucu: which side does the model back?

The model gives Sarıyer the best chance at 67%, with the draw at 19%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 62% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Sarıyer find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Ayvalikgucu in 61%.

When is Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Sarıyer v AyvalikgucuSarıyer to win, 67%
1.44Bet