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Türkiye Kupası 3rd Round Tuesday, 27 October 2026 FT
PazarsporHomeWL
0:1Half-time 0:1
Aliağa FAŞAwayW
252550
Pazarspor winDrawAliağa FAŞ win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
3.17
1.30 : 1.87
Favourite
50%
Aliağa FAŞ
Over 2.5 goals
61%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.603.601.911.502.281.482.47Bet
22Bet3.934.041.731.522.381.572.26Bet
BC.Game4.203.801.681.552.321.532.24Bet
Betwinner3.934.041.731.522.381.572.26Bet
Melbet3.934.041.731.522.381.572.26Bet
Stake4.103.951.691.522.261.552.21Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Aliağa FAŞ to win partner prices

BC.Game pay the best Pazarspor price at 4.20, Melbet lead the draw at 4.04 and 1xBet have Aliağa FAŞ longest at 1.91.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 99.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.55 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.38 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.57 (Melbet) and no 2.47 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

75%

Our prediction

Pazarspor or Aliağa FAŞ (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.30 : 1.87-6.4% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.55
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.80fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Aliağa FAŞ, full-time Aliağa FAŞ
32% chance3.14fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.32fair

Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ prediction

Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ prediction, who wins and at what price

Aliağa FAŞ are a narrow favourite in the Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ prediction, rated 50% to win this Türkiye Kupası match on Tuesday, 27 October 2026. Pazarspor sit at 25% and the draw at 25%.

Expected goals are 1.30 for Pazarspor and 1.87 for Aliağa FAŞ, a total of 3.17, which puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 62%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is pazarspor or Aliağa FAŞ (no draw) at 75%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 5 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 61%, over 3.5 at 39%; under 2.5 is 39% and under 3.5 is 61%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.55 at BC.Game.

BTTS yes stands at 62%. Pazarspor score in 73% of simulations against a 27% clean sheet for Aliağa FAŞ; Aliağa FAŞ score in 85% while Pazarspor shut them out 15% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ: 1-1 (10.2%), 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (7.9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Aliağa FAŞ, full-time Aliağa FAŞ is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.

Every market for Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ

The grid built from 1.30 and 1.87 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Pazarspor to win25%4.20
Draw25%4.04
Aliağa FAŞ to win50%1.91
Pazarspor, draw no bet34%fair 2.98
Aliağa FAŞ, draw no bet66%fair 1.51

Double chance

Pazarspor or draw50%2.01
Aliağa FAŞ or draw75%1.25
Pazarspor or Aliağa FAŞ (no draw)75%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.55
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.56
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.67
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.71
Under 2.5 goals39%2.38
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.64

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.57
Not both teams to score38%2.47

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.40
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21

Team goals

Pazarspor to score73%fair 1.38
Aliağa FAŞ to score85%fair 1.18
Pazarspor clean sheet15%fair 6.49
Aliağa FAŞ clean sheet27%fair 3.66
Pazarspor to win to nil14%fair 7.04
Aliağa FAŞ to win to nil25%fair 3.98

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.2%
1-29.5%
0-17.9%
0-27.3%
2-16.6%
2-26.2%

Half-time / full-time

Aliağa FAŞ / Aliağa FAŞ31.8%
Draw / Aliağa FAŞ15.8%
Pazarspor / Pazarspor15.3%
Draw / Draw12.3%
Draw / Pazarspor9.3%

Questions about Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ

Pazarspor or Aliağa FAŞ: which side does the model back?

The model gives Aliağa FAŞ the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 61%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Pazarspor find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Aliağa FAŞ in 85%.

When is Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ and where is the result shown?

Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ starts at 10:30 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Pazarspor v Aliağa FAŞPazarspor or Aliağa FAŞ (no draw), 75%
1.25Bet