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Live 20 UTC
Türkiye Kupası 3rd Round Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
Bitlis ÖzgüzelderesporHomeWW
4:1Half-time 2:0
KayserisporAwayWWDDL
282151
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor winDrawKayserispor win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
2.91
1.18 : 1.73
Favourite
51%
Kayserispor
Over 2.5 goals
56%
model chance
Both teams to score
55%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Kayserispor

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.424.201.821.692.081.712.02Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Kayserispor to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Kayserispor are 3.42 for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor at 1xBet, 4.20 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.82 for Kayserispor at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.69 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.08 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.71 (1xBet) and no 2.02 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

51%

Our prediction

Kayserispor to win
LeanExpected goals 1.18 : 1.73-6.8% against the best price
Double chanceBitlis Özgüzelderespor or Kayserispor (no draw)
79% chance1.19
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Kayserispor, full-time Kayserispor
31% chance3.22fair

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Kayserispor prediction

Our Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Kayserispor prediction and pick

The Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Kayserispor prediction leans to Kayserispor: 51% against 28% for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor, with 21% left for the draw, in the Türkiye Kupası on Thursday, 29 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.91 in total, split 1.18 to Bitlis Özgüzelderespor and 1.73 to Kayserispor. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 55%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Kayserispor is kayserispor to win, a 51% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.82. That price implies 55%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Kayserispor.

For a safer line, bitlis Özgüzelderespor or Kayserispor (no draw) covers 79% of outcomes at 1.19.

The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Kayserispor

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 79%, over 2.5 at 56%, over 3.5 at 33%; under 2.5 is 44% and under 3.5 is 67%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.69.

Both teams to score is 55%: Bitlis Özgüzelderespor find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Kayserispor in 82%. Bitlis Özgüzelderespor keep a clean sheet 18% of the time and Kayserispor 31%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%, followed by 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.4%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Kayserispor, full-time Kayserispor is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.

Every market rated for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Kayserispor

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Kayserispor, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor to win28%3.42
Draw21%4.20
Kayserispor to win51%1.82
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor, draw no bet35%fair 2.86
Kayserispor, draw no bet65%fair 1.54

Double chance

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor or draw49%1.89
Kayserispor or draw73%1.27
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor or Kayserispor (no draw)79%1.19

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals56%1.69
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.00
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.88
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.69
Under 2.5 goals44%2.08
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.50

BTTS

Both teams to score55%1.71
Not both teams to score45%2.02

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.65
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25

Team goals

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor to score69%fair 1.44
Kayserispor to score82%fair 1.22
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor clean sheet18%fair 5.65
Kayserispor clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor to win to nil16%fair 6.13
Kayserispor to win to nil28%fair 3.53

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
1-29.6%
0-19.4%
0-28.2%
2-16.6%
1-06.4%

Half-time / full-time

Kayserispor / Kayserispor31.1%
Draw / Kayserispor16.2%
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor / Bitlis Özgüzelderespor14.8%
Draw / Draw13.7%
Draw / Bitlis Özgüzelderespor9.5%

Questions about Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Kayserispor

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor or Kayserispor: which side does the model back?

The model gives Kayserispor the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Kayserispor correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Kayserispor?

The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Bitlis Özgüzelderespor find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Kayserispor in 82%.

When is Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Kayserispor and where is the result shown?

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Kayserispor starts at 10:30 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Bitlis Özgüzelderespor v KayserisporKayserispor to win, 51%
1.82Bet