KastamonusporHomeL
24 ErzincansporAwayW
KastamonusporHomeL
24 ErzincansporAwayWNo bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Kastamonuspor vs 24 Erzincanspor yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
Our prediction
Nothing separates the sides in the Kastamonuspor vs 24 Erzincanspor prediction for Wednesday, 28 October 2026: 39% home, 23% draw and 39% away in the Türkiye Kupası. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Kastamonuspor are expected to score 1.72 and 24 Erzincanspor 1.73, so the total line is 3.45 goals; over 2.5 lands at 67% and BTTS at 67%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Kastamonuspor or 24 Erzincanspor (no draw) is the main selection, rated 78%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
On the goal lines Kastamonuspor vs 24 Erzincanspor reads 86% for over 1.5, 67% for over 2.5 and 45% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 33%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 67%, built from Kastamonuspor scoring in 82% of runs and 24 Erzincanspor in 82%; clean sheets come at 18% for Kastamonuspor and 18% for 24 Erzincanspor.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.4%, then 1-2 at 8.2% and 2-1 at 8.1%.
With the top scoreline at 9.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Kastamonuspor vs 24 Erzincanspor; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time 24 Erzincanspor, full-time 24 Erzincanspor is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.
The grid built from 1.72 and 1.73 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives 24 Erzincanspor the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 23%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 67%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Kastamonuspor find the net in 82% of simulated matches and 24 Erzincanspor in 82%.
Kick-off is 10:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.