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Live 22 UTC
Türkiye Kupası 3rd Round Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
Güzide GebzesporHomeL
0:4Half-time 0:2
Yeşilyurt BelediyesporAwayWW
482824
Güzide Gebzespor winDrawYeşilyurt Belediyespor win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
2.78
1.64 : 1.14
Favourite
48%
Güzide Gebzespor
Over 2.5 goals
52%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Güzide Gebzespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet1.983.423.521.831.911.662.09Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Güzide Gebzespor to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Güzide Gebzespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor prediction: Güzide Gebzespor 1.98 (22Bet), draw 3.42 (22Bet), Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 3.52 (22Bet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.83 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.91 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.66 (22Bet) and no 2.09 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

75%

Our prediction

Güzide Gebzespor or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.64 : 1.14-5.9% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Güzide Gebzespor, full-time Güzide Gebzespor
30% chance3.33fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.40fair

Güzide Gebzespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor prediction

Our Güzide Gebzespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor prediction and pick

Güzide Gebzespor are marginally ahead in the Güzide Gebzespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor prediction, rated 48% to win this Türkiye Kupası match on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Yeşilyurt Belediyespor sit at 25% and the draw at 28%.

Expected goals are 1.64 for Güzide Gebzespor and 1.14 for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor, a total of 2.78, which puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 57%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Güzide Gebzespor or draw is the main selection, rated 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.25 at 22Bet, which implies 80%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Güzide Gebzespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 48% and under 3.5 70%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 52%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.83 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 57%. Güzide Gebzespor score in 81% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor; Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score in 68% while Güzide Gebzespor shut them out 32% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.6%, then 1-0 at 10.2% and 2-1 at 9.5%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Güzide Gebzespor, full-time Güzide Gebzespor is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.

Every market rated for Güzide Gebzespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Güzide Gebzespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Güzide Gebzespor to win48%1.98
Draw28%3.42
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor to win25%3.52
Güzide Gebzespor, draw no bet66%fair 1.52
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor, draw no bet34%fair 2.92

Double chance

Güzide Gebzespor or draw75%1.25
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor or draw53%1.73
Güzide Gebzespor or Yeşilyurt Belediyespor (no draw)72%1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.83
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.29
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.71
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.26
Under 2.5 goals48%1.91
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.44

BTTS

Both teams to score57%1.66
Not both teams to score43%2.09

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.81
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28

Team goals

Güzide Gebzespor to score81%fair 1.24
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor to score68%fair 1.47
Güzide Gebzespor clean sheet32%fair 3.13
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor clean sheet19%fair 5.15
Güzide Gebzespor to win to nil29%fair 3.40
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor to win to nil18%fair 5.62

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
1-010.2%
2-19.5%
2-08.3%
0-17.1%
1-26.6%

Half-time / full-time

Güzide Gebzespor / Güzide Gebzespor30%
Draw / Güzide Gebzespor16.2%
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor / Yeşilyurt Belediyespor15%
Draw / Draw14.5%
Draw / Yeşilyurt Belediyespor9.8%

Questions about Güzide Gebzespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

Who will win Güzide Gebzespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?

The model gives Güzide Gebzespor the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Güzide Gebzespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Güzide Gebzespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Güzide Gebzespor find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Yeşilyurt Belediyespor in 68%.

What time does Güzide Gebzespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor kick off?

Güzide Gebzespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor starts at 10:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Güzide Gebzespor v Yeşilyurt BelediyesporGüzide Gebzespor or draw, 75%
1.25Bet