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Türkiye Kupası 3rd Round Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
Ankara DemirsporHomeL
0:1Half-time 0:1
Nilüfer BelediyeAwayWW
422335
Ankara Demirspor winDrawNilüfer Belediye win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
3.24
1.71 : 1.53
Favourite
42%
Ankara Demirspor
Over 2.5 goals
63%
model chance
Both teams to score
64%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for Ankara Demirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Ankara Demirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

77%

Our prediction

Ankara Demirspor or Nilüfer Belediye (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.71 : 1.53
1.30fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.60fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.56fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.80fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ankara Demirspor, full-time Ankara Demirspor
26% chance3.89fair
First halfFirst-half goal
77% chance1.30fair

Ankara Demirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye prediction

Ankara Demirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye prediction, who wins and at what price

The Ankara Demirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Türkiye Kupası on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 gives Ankara Demirspor a 42% chance, Nilüfer Belediye 35% and the draw 23%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 3.24 in total, split 1.71 to Ankara Demirspor and 1.53 to Nilüfer Belediye. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 64%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is ankara Demirspor or Nilüfer Belediye (no draw) at 77%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Goals forecast for Ankara Demirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Ankara Demirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye reads 83% for over 1.5, 63% for over 2.5 and 41% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 37%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 63%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 64%, built from Ankara Demirspor scoring in 82% of runs and Nilüfer Belediye in 78%; clean sheets come at 22% for Ankara Demirspor and 18% for Nilüfer Belediye.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.2%, then 2-1 at 8.8% and 1-2 at 7.8%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Ankara Demirspor, full-time Ankara Demirspor is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.

Every market for Ankara Demirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Ankara Demirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Ankara Demirspor to win42%fair 2.36
Draw23%fair 4.31
Nilüfer Belediye to win35%fair 2.90
Ankara Demirspor, draw no bet55%fair 1.81
Nilüfer Belediye, draw no bet45%fair 2.23

Double chance

Ankara Demirspor or draw66%fair 1.53
Nilüfer Belediye or draw58%fair 1.73
Ankara Demirspor or Nilüfer Belediye (no draw)77%fair 1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals63%fair 1.60
Over 3.5 goals41%fair 2.46
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.41
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 6.02
Under 2.5 goals37%fair 2.67
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.68

BTTS

Both teams to score64%fair 1.56
Not both teams to score36%fair 2.78

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.34
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20

Team goals

Ankara Demirspor to score82%fair 1.22
Nilüfer Belediye to score78%fair 1.28
Ankara Demirspor clean sheet22%fair 4.61
Nilüfer Belediye clean sheet18%fair 5.52
Ankara Demirspor to win to nil20%fair 5.03
Nilüfer Belediye to win to nil17%fair 6.02

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.2%
2-18.8%
1-27.8%
2-26.7%
1-06.7%
0-16%

Half-time / full-time

Ankara Demirspor / Ankara Demirspor25.7%
Nilüfer Belediye / Nilüfer Belediye20.5%
Draw / Ankara Demirspor13.5%
Draw / Draw12.3%
Draw / Nilüfer Belediye11.5%

Questions about Ankara Demirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye

Who will win Ankara Demirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye?

The model gives Ankara Demirspor the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 23%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Ankara Demirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 63% backs the same picture with less variance.

Ankara Demirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. Ankara Demirspor find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Nilüfer Belediye in 78%.

When do Ankara Demirspor play Nilüfer Belediye?

Kick-off is 10:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Ankara Demirspor v Nilüfer BelediyeAnkara Demirspor or Nilüfer Belediye (no draw), 77%
1.30fair