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Türkiye Kupası 3rd Round Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
İnegölsporHomeL
1:4Half-time 1:3
Sebat GençliksporAwayW
382636
İnegölspor winDrawSebat Gençlikspor win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
2.90
1.46 : 1.44
Favourite
38%
İnegölspor
Over 2.5 goals
55%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet2.333.322.851.762.001.572.25Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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İnegölspor to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor prediction: İnegölspor 2.33 (22Bet), draw 3.32 (22Bet), Sebat Gençlikspor 2.85 (22Bet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.76 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.00 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.57 (22Bet) and no 2.25 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

74%

Our prediction

İnegölspor or Sebat Gençlikspor (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.46 : 1.44-5.5% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.76
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time İnegölspor, full-time İnegölspor
23% chance4.42fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.37fair

İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor prediction

İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor prediction, who wins and at what price

Nothing separates the sides in the İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor prediction for Wednesday, 28 October 2026: 38% home, 26% draw and 36% away in the Türkiye Kupası. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

The goal expectancy is 2.90 in total, split 1.46 to İnegölspor and 1.44 to Sebat Gençlikspor. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 60%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

İnegölspor or Sebat Gençlikspor (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.28 at 22Bet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor.

How many goals in İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 45% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 79% and over 2.5 at 55%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.76 at 22Bet.

Both teams to score is 60%: İnegölspor find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Sebat Gençlikspor in 76%. İnegölspor keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Sebat Gençlikspor 23%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.6%, then 2-1 at 8.4% and 1-2 at 8.3%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time İnegölspor, full-time İnegölspor leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

İnegölspor to win38%2.33
Draw26%3.32
Sebat Gençlikspor to win36%2.85
İnegölspor, draw no bet51%fair 1.97
Sebat Gençlikspor, draw no bet49%fair 2.03

Double chance

İnegölspor or draw64%1.37
Sebat Gençlikspor or draw63%1.53
İnegölspor or Sebat Gençlikspor (no draw)74%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.76
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.03
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.95
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.65
Under 2.5 goals45%2.00
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49

BTTS

Both teams to score60%1.57
Not both teams to score40%2.25

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.67
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25

Team goals

İnegölspor to score77%fair 1.30
Sebat Gençlikspor to score76%fair 1.31
İnegölspor clean sheet24%fair 4.22
Sebat Gençlikspor clean sheet23%fair 4.31
İnegölspor to win to nil22%fair 4.59
Sebat Gençlikspor to win to nil21%fair 4.67

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
2-18.4%
1-28.3%
1-08%
0-17.9%
2-26.1%

Half-time / full-time

İnegölspor / İnegölspor22.6%
Sebat Gençlikspor / Sebat Gençlikspor22%
Draw / Draw14.1%
Draw / İnegölspor13%
Draw / Sebat Gençlikspor12.8%

Questions about İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor

Who is favourite in İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor?

The model gives İnegölspor the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. İnegölspor find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Sebat Gençlikspor in 76%.

What time does İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor kick off?

Kick-off is 10:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, İnegölspor v Sebat Gençliksporİnegölspor or Sebat Gençlikspor (no draw), 74%
1.28Bet