İnegölsporHomeL
Sebat GençliksporAwayW
İnegölsporHomeL
Sebat GençliksporAwayW| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.33 | 3.32 | 2.85 | 1.76 | 2.00 | 1.57 | 2.25 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor prediction: İnegölspor 2.33 (22Bet), draw 3.32 (22Bet), Sebat Gençlikspor 2.85 (22Bet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.76 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.00 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.57 (22Bet) and no 2.25 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Nothing separates the sides in the İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor prediction for Wednesday, 28 October 2026: 38% home, 26% draw and 36% away in the Türkiye Kupası. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 2.90 in total, split 1.46 to İnegölspor and 1.44 to Sebat Gençlikspor. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 60%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
İnegölspor or Sebat Gençlikspor (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.28 at 22Bet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor.
Under 2.5 goals is rated 45% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 79% and over 2.5 at 55%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.76 at 22Bet.
Both teams to score is 60%: İnegölspor find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Sebat Gençlikspor in 76%. İnegölspor keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Sebat Gençlikspor 23%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.6%, then 2-1 at 8.4% and 1-2 at 8.3%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time İnegölspor, full-time İnegölspor leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives İnegölspor the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. İnegölspor find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Sebat Gençlikspor in 76%.
Kick-off is 10:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.