1. Lig
SarıyerHomeLDLWL
0:2Half-time 0:1
Fatih KaragümrükAwayLLWDL422731
Sarıyer winDrawFatih Karagümrük win
SarıyerHomeLDLWLFatih KaragümrükAwayLLWDL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.54 1.37 : 1.17
- Favourite
- 42% Sarıyer
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.22 | 2.96 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 1.78 | 1.91 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sarıyer to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük are 2.19 for Sarıyer at 1xBet, 3.22 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.96 for Fatih Karagümrük at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.98 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.71 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (1xBet) and no 1.91 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Sarıyer or Fatih Karagümrük (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.71
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sarıyer, full-time Sarıyer
25% chance4.08fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair
Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction
Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction, who wins and at what price
The Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction leans to Sarıyer: 42% against 32% for Fatih Karagümrük, with 27% left for the draw, in the 1. Lig on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.37 for Sarıyer and 1.17 for Fatih Karagümrük, a total of 2.54, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 52%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is sarıyer or Fatih Karagümrük (no draw) at 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük.
Sarıyer average 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Fatih Karagümrük 0.6 and 0.8 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük
On the goal lines Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük reads 72% for over 1.5, 46% for over 2.5 and 25% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 54%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.71 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 52%: Sarıyer find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Fatih Karagümrük in 69%. Sarıyer keep a clean sheet 31% of the time and Fatih Karagümrük 25%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük: 1-1 (12.6%), 1-0 (10.8%) and 0-1 (9.2%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Sarıyer, full-time Sarıyer is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
All markets, Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 42% / 27% / 32% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Sarıyer to win42%2.19
Draw27%3.22
Fatih Karagümrük to win32%2.96
Sarıyer, draw no bet57%fair 1.77
Fatih Karagümrük, draw no bet43%fair 2.30
Double chance
Sarıyer or draw68%1.30
Fatih Karagümrük or draw59%1.54
Sarıyer or Fatih Karagümrük (no draw)73%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%1.98
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.98
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.77
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.58
Under 2.5 goals54%1.71
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.78
Not both teams to score48%1.91
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.15
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Sarıyer to score75%fair 1.34
Fatih Karagümrük to score69%fair 1.45
Sarıyer clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Fatih Karagümrük clean sheet25%fair 3.94
Sarıyer to win to nil29%fair 3.50
Fatih Karagümrük to win to nil23%fair 4.27
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.6%
1-010.8%
0-19.2%
2-18.7%
0-07.9%
2-07.4%
Half-time / full-time
Sarıyer / Sarıyer24.5%
Fatih Karagümrük / Fatih Karagümrük18.3%
Draw / Draw16.5%
Draw / Sarıyer14.7%
Draw / Fatih Karagümrük11.9%
Questions about Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük
Who will win Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük?
The model gives Sarıyer the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.
Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Sarıyer find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Fatih Karagümrük in 69%.
What time does Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük kick off?
Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.