1. Lig
ÜmraniyesporHomeDWWWD
4:0Half-time 1:0
SivassporAwayWDDLL412930
Ümraniyespor winDrawSivasspor win
ÜmraniyesporHomeDWWWDSivassporAwayWDDLL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.59 1.40 : 1.19
- Favourite
- 41% Ümraniyespor
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.14 | 3.00 | 1.87 | 1.80 | 1.69 | 2.03 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Ümraniyespor to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor are 2.20 for Ümraniyespor at 1xBet, 3.14 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.00 for Sivasspor at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.87 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.80 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.69 (1xBet) and no 2.03 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
71%
Our prediction
Ümraniyespor or Sivasspor (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.80
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ümraniyespor, full-time Ümraniyespor
25% chance4.03fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair
Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor prediction
Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor prediction and best bet
Ümraniyespor host Sivasspor on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the 1. Lig, and the model has Ümraniyespor at 41%, the draw at 29% and Sivasspor at 31%: that is the Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor prediction in one line.
Ümraniyespor are expected to score 1.40 and Sivasspor 1.19, so the total line is 2.59 goals; over 2.5 lands at 47% and BTTS at 54%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is Ümraniyespor or Sivasspor (no draw) at 71%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.27. That price implies 79%, 7 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Ümraniyespor have won 3 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 3 conceded, Sivasspor 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 9.
Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 73%, over 2.5 at 47%, over 3.5 at 26%; under 2.5 is 53% and under 3.5 is 74%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.80.
The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Ümraniyespor scoring in 75% of runs and Sivasspor in 70%; clean sheets come at 30% for Ümraniyespor and 25% for Sivasspor.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor: 1-1 (12.5%), 1-0 (10.5%) and 0-1 (8.9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Ümraniyespor, full-time Ümraniyespor leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Ümraniyespor to win41%2.20
Draw29%3.14
Sivasspor to win31%3.00
Ümraniyespor, draw no bet57%fair 1.76
Sivasspor, draw no bet43%fair 2.32
Double chance
Ümraniyespor or draw69%1.29
Sivasspor or draw59%1.53
Ümraniyespor or Sivasspor (no draw)71%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%1.87
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.26
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.72
Under 2.5 goals53%1.80
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.69
Not both teams to score47%2.03
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.08
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Ümraniyespor to score75%fair 1.33
Sivasspor to score70%fair 1.44
Ümraniyespor clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Sivasspor clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Ümraniyespor to win to nil28%fair 3.57
Sivasspor to win to nil23%fair 4.41
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
1-010.5%
0-18.9%
2-18.7%
0-07.5%
1-27.4%
Half-time / full-time
Ümraniyespor / Ümraniyespor24.8%
Sivasspor / Sivasspor18.3%
Draw / Draw16.1%
Draw / Ümraniyespor14.7%
Draw / Sivasspor11.8%
Questions about Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor
Ümraniyespor or Sivasspor: which side does the model back?
The model gives Ümraniyespor the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Ümraniyespor find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Sivasspor in 70%.
What time does Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor kick off?
Kick-off is 10:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.