Türkiye Kupası
Fatih KaragümrükHomeLLWDL
0:0Half-time 0:0Penalties 3:1
SomasporAwayWD81127
Fatih Karagümrük winDrawSomaspor win
Fatih KaragümrükHomeLLWDLSomasporAwayWD- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.82 3.02 : 0.80
- Favourite
- 81% Fatih Karagümrük
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Fatih Karagümrük vs Somaspor betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.16 | 7.75 | 11.40 | 1.34 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.73 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.21 | 6.00 | 9.20 | 1.35 | 2.98 | 1.66 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.16 | 7.75 | 11.40 | 1.34 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.73 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.26 | 6.54 | 7.54 | 1.26 | 3.50 | 1.61 | 2.18 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.18 | 6.60 | 11.00 | - | - | 1.82 | 1.81 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Fatih Karagümrük to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Fatih Karagümrük price at 1.26, 22Bet lead the draw at 7.75 and 22Bet have Somaspor longest at 11.40.
The best-price payout across the three results is 98.7%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.35 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 3.50 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.00 (Betwinner) and no 2.18 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
81%
Our prediction
Fatih Karagümrük to win
Double chanceFatih Karagümrük or draw
93% chance1.05
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
72% chance1.35
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance2.00
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.12fair
ScorelineCorrect score 3-0
10% chance9.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Fatih Karagümrük, full-time Fatih Karagümrük
59% chance1.69fair
Fatih Karagümrük vs Somaspor prediction
Fatih Karagümrük vs Somaspor prediction, who wins and at what price
Fatih Karagümrük host Somaspor on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 in the Türkiye Kupası, and the model has Fatih Karagümrük at 81%, the draw at 12% and Somaspor at 7%: that is the Fatih Karagümrük vs Somaspor prediction in one line.
Fatih Karagümrük are expected to score 3.02 and Somaspor 0.80, so the total line is 3.82 goals; over 2.5 lands at 72% and BTTS at 53%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Fatih Karagümrük vs Somaspor is fatih Karagümrük to win, a 81% chance. Melbet offer the top price at 1.26. That price implies 80%, 1 points under the model figure.
Fatih Karagümrük or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 93% chance, priced 1.05.
With the draw down at 12%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Fatih Karagümrük vs Somaspor over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 89%, over 2.5 at 72%, over 3.5 at 53%; under 2.5 is 28% and under 3.5 is 47%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 72%, best priced 1.35 at BC.Game.
BTTS yes stands at 53%. Fatih Karagümrük score in 95% of simulations against a 5% clean sheet for Somaspor; Somaspor score in 55% while Fatih Karagümrük shut them out 45% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Fatih Karagümrük vs Somaspor: 3-0 (10.1%), 2-0 (10%) and 3-1 (8.1%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Fatih Karagümrük, full-time Fatih Karagümrük is the top combination at 59%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 82%.
Every market for Fatih Karagümrük vs Somaspor
The grid built from 3.02 and 0.80 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Fatih Karagümrük to win81%1.26
Draw12%7.75
Somaspor to win7%11.40
Fatih Karagümrük, draw no bet92%fair 1.08
Somaspor, draw no bet8%fair 12.82
Double chance
Fatih Karagümrük or draw93%1.05
Somaspor or draw19%4.61
Fatih Karagümrük or Somaspor (no draw)88%1.08
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 2.5 goals72%1.35
Over 3.5 goals53%fair 1.89
Over 4.5 goals34%fair 2.99
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 9.35
Under 2.5 goals28%3.50
Under 3.5 goals47%fair 2.12
BTTS
Both teams to score53%2.00
Not both teams to score47%2.18
Halves
First-half goal82%fair 1.22
Over 1.5 first-half goals51%fair 1.95
Second-half goal88%fair 1.14
Team goals
Fatih Karagümrük to score95%fair 1.05
Somaspor to score55%fair 1.81
Fatih Karagümrük clean sheet45%fair 2.23
Somaspor clean sheet5%fair 20.41
Fatih Karagümrük to win to nil41%fair 2.42
Somaspor to win to nil5%fair 22.22
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
3-010.1%
2-010%
3-18.1%
2-18%
4-07.6%
1-06.6%
Half-time / full-time
Fatih Karagümrük / Fatih Karagümrük59.1%
Draw / Fatih Karagümrük18.8%
Draw / Draw6.4%
Somaspor / Somaspor3.6%
Somaspor / Fatih Karagümrük3.4%
Questions about Fatih Karagümrük vs Somaspor
Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Somaspor?
The model gives Fatih Karagümrük the best chance at 81%, with the draw at 12%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Fatih Karagümrük vs Somaspor correct score: what does the model say?
3-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 72%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Fatih Karagümrük vs Somaspor both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Fatih Karagümrük find the net in 95% of simulated matches and Somaspor in 55%.
What time does Fatih Karagümrük vs Somaspor kick off?
Fatih Karagümrük vs Somaspor starts at 12:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.