1. Lig
KeçiörengücüHomeWDWLL
2:4Half-time 2:2
BursasporAwayLWWWW282646
Keçiörengücü winDrawBursaspor win
KeçiörengücüHomeWDWLLBursasporAwayLWWWW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.99 1.28 : 1.71
- Favourite
- 47% Bursaspor
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.43 | 3.38 | 1.93 | 1.61 | 2.13 | 1.53 | 2.32 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.64 | 3.64 | 1.93 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 1.59 | 2.28 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.45 | 3.55 | 1.94 | 1.63 | 2.18 | 1.54 | 2.24 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.43 | 3.38 | 1.93 | 1.61 | 2.13 | 1.53 | 2.32 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.64 | 3.64 | 1.93 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 1.59 | 2.28 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Bursaspor to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Keçiörengücü price at 3.64, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.64 and BC.Game have Bursaspor longest at 1.94.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.9%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.63 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.20 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (Melbet) and no 2.32 (Betwinner).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
75%
Our prediction
Keçiörengücü or Bursaspor (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.63
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bursaspor, full-time Bursaspor
29% chance3.42fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair
Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor prediction
Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor prediction, who wins and at what price
Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor prediction for the 1. Lig on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Bursaspor marginally ahead at 47%, with the draw at 26% and Keçiörengücü at 28%.
Expected goals are 1.28 for Keçiörengücü and 1.71 for Bursaspor, a total of 2.99, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 60%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Keçiörengücü or Bursaspor (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at 22Bet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor.
Keçiörengücü average 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Bursaspor 2.6 and 0.8 across 5.
How many goals in Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 43% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 57%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.63 at BC.Game.
The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from Keçiörengücü scoring in 72% of runs and Bursaspor in 82%; clean sheets come at 18% for Keçiörengücü and 28% for Bursaspor.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, followed by 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.6%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Bursaspor, full-time Bursaspor is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
Every market for Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 28% / 26% / 47% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Keçiörengücü to win28%3.64
Draw26%3.64
Bursaspor to win47%1.94
Keçiörengücü, draw no bet37%fair 2.67
Bursaspor, draw no bet63%fair 1.60
Double chance
Keçiörengücü or draw53%1.82
Bursaspor or draw72%1.26
Keçiörengücü or Bursaspor (no draw)75%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.63
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.85
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.46
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.98
Under 2.5 goals43%2.20
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.54
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.59
Not both teams to score40%2.32
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.57
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Keçiörengücü to score72%fair 1.39
Bursaspor to score82%fair 1.22
Keçiörengücü clean sheet18%fair 5.52
Bursaspor clean sheet28%fair 3.60
Keçiörengücü to win to nil17%fair 6.02
Bursaspor to win to nil26%fair 3.91
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111%
1-29.4%
0-18.6%
0-27.4%
2-17%
1-06.4%
Half-time / full-time
Bursaspor / Bursaspor29.2%
Keçiörengücü / Keçiörengücü16.5%
Draw / Bursaspor15.4%
Draw / Draw13.4%
Draw / Keçiörengücü10.2%
Questions about Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor
Keçiörengücü or Bursaspor: which side does the model back?
The model gives Bursaspor the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Keçiörengücü find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Bursaspor in 82%.
When do Keçiörengücü play Bursaspor?
Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.