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1. Lig Round 12 Monday, 26 October 2026 FT
Mardin 1969HomeWWLWW
2:1Half-time 2:1
Manisa F.K.AwayLDLLW
582418
Mardin 1969 winDrawManisa F.K. win
Kick-off
Mon 26 Oct
Expected goals
2.85
1.87 : 0.98
Favourite
58%
Mardin 1969
Over 2.5 goals
54%
model chance
Both teams to score
54%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K.

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.593.744.801.711.981.731.98Bet
22Bet1.603.855.461.812.001.821.93Bet
BC.Game1.533.955.601.732.001.761.90Bet
Betwinner1.603.855.461.812.001.821.93Bet
Melbet1.543.825.151.711.981.751.95Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Mardin 1969 to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. prediction: Mardin 1969 1.60 (22Bet), draw 3.95 (BC.Game), Manisa F.K. 5.60 (BC.Game).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.00 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (22Bet) and no 1.98 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

58%

Our prediction

Mardin 1969 to win
StrongExpected goals 1.87 : 0.98-7.8% against the best price
Double chanceMardin 1969 or draw
81% chance1.13
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.29fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
11% chance9.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mardin 1969, full-time Mardin 1969
37% chance2.70fair

Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. prediction

Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. prediction, who wins and at what price

Mardin 1969 are a narrow favourite in the Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. prediction, rated 58% to win this 1. Lig match on Monday, 26 October 2026. Manisa F.K. sit at 19% and the draw at 24%.

Expected goals are 1.87 for Mardin 1969 and 0.98 for Manisa F.K., a total of 2.85, which puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 54%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is mardin 1969 to win at 58%. The best price in our comparison is 1.60 at 22Bet, which implies 63%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Mardin 1969 or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.13.

Mardin 1969 average 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Manisa F.K. 1.8 and 2.2 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K.

Under 2.5 goals is rated 46% and under 3.5 68%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 54%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 22Bet pay 1.81.

Both teams to score is 54%: Mardin 1969 find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Manisa F.K. in 63%. Mardin 1969 keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and Manisa F.K. 15%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K.: 1-0 (10.8%), 1-1 (10.6%) and 2-0 (10.1%).

With the top scoreline at 10.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K.; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Mardin 1969, full-time Mardin 1969 is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.

Every market for Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K.

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K., all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Mardin 1969 to win58%1.60
Draw24%3.95
Manisa F.K. to win19%5.60
Mardin 1969, draw no bet76%fair 1.32
Manisa F.K., draw no bet24%fair 4.10

Double chance

Mardin 1969 or draw81%1.13
Manisa F.K. or draw42%2.32
Mardin 1969 or Manisa F.K. (no draw)77%1.23

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.29
Over 2.5 goals54%1.81
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.13
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.25
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.48
Under 2.5 goals46%2.00
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.47

BTTS

Both teams to score54%1.82
Not both teams to score46%1.98

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.72
Second-half goal79%fair 1.26

Team goals

Mardin 1969 to score85%fair 1.18
Manisa F.K. to score63%fair 1.60
Mardin 1969 clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Manisa F.K. clean sheet15%fair 6.49
Mardin 1969 to win to nil35%fair 2.90
Manisa F.K. to win to nil14%fair 7.04

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-010.8%
1-110.6%
2-010.1%
2-19.9%
3-06.3%
3-16.2%

Half-time / full-time

Mardin 1969 / Mardin 196937%
Draw / Mardin 196918.3%
Draw / Draw13.3%
Manisa F.K. / Manisa F.K.10.7%
Draw / Manisa F.K.7.4%

Questions about Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K.

Mardin 1969 or Manisa F.K.: which side does the model back?

The model gives Mardin 1969 the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 54%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K.?

The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Mardin 1969 find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Manisa F.K. in 63%.

What time does Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. kick off?

Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. starts at 17:00 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Mardin 1969 v Manisa F.K.Mardin 1969 to win, 58%
1.60Bet