Esenler EroksporHomeWDWLW
KeçiörengücüAwayWDWLL
Esenler EroksporHomeWDWLW
KeçiörengücüAwayWDWLL| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.66 | 1.57 | 2.20 | 1.53 | 2.32 | Bet | |
| 1.87 | 3.74 | 3.74 | 1.54 | 2.38 | 1.50 | 2.50 | Bet | |
| 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.80 | 1.56 | 2.32 | 1.54 | 2.26 | Bet | |
| 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.58 | 1.55 | 2.24 | 1.51 | 2.36 | Bet | |
| 1.87 | 3.74 | 3.74 | 1.54 | 2.38 | 1.50 | 2.50 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Melbet pay the best Esenler Erokspor price at 1.87, Melbet lead the draw at 3.74 and BC.Game have Keçiörengücü longest at 3.80.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.57 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.38 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.54 (BC.Game) and no 2.50 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Esenler Erokspor are a narrow favourite in the Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü prediction, rated 49% to win this 1. Lig match on Friday, 30 October 2026. Keçiörengücü sit at 27% and the draw at 24%.
Expected goals are 1.76 for Esenler Erokspor and 1.27 for Keçiörengücü, a total of 3.03, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 60%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü is esenler Erokspor or Keçiörengücü (no draw), a 76% chance. At 1.25 with Melbet the market prices it at 80%, against 76% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Esenler Erokspor stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Keçiörengücü show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
On the goal lines Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü reads 81% for over 1.5, 58% for over 2.5 and 36% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 42%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.57 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from Esenler Erokspor scoring in 83% of runs and Keçiörengücü in 72%; clean sheets come at 28% for Esenler Erokspor and 17% for Keçiörengücü.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü: 1-1 (10.8%), 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.5%).
With the top scoreline at 10.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Esenler Erokspor, full-time Esenler Erokspor leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 49% / 24% / 27% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Esenler Erokspor the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 24%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Esenler Erokspor find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Keçiörengücü in 72%.
Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.