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Live 17 UTC
Super League Round 12 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
FC LuzernHomeWLWLD
1:1Half-time 0:0
FC SionAwayDLWWD
382240
FC Luzern winDrawFC Sion win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
3.83
1.90 : 1.93
Favourite
40%
FC Sion
Over 2.5 goals
73%
model chance
Both teams to score
73%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

FC Luzern vs FC Sion odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.393.902.501.302.971.303.21Bet
22Bet2.663.952.271.363.001.362.99Bet
BC.Game2.563.852.341.353.001.323.10Bet
Betwinner2.663.952.271.363.001.362.99Bet
Melbet2.543.842.381.322.881.323.11Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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FC Sion to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the FC Luzern vs FC Sion prediction: FC Luzern 2.66 (22Bet), draw 3.95 (22Bet), FC Sion 2.50 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.36 (22Bet) and under 2.5 3.00 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.36 (22Bet) and no 3.21 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

78%

Our prediction

FC Luzern or FC Sion (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.90 : 1.93-4.6% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
73% chance1.36
BTTSBoth teams to score
73% chance1.36
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
90% chance1.12fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
8% chance12.50fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Sion, full-time FC Sion
25% chance4.07fair
First halfFirst-half goal
82% chance1.22fair

FC Luzern vs FC Sion prediction

FC Luzern vs FC Sion prediction, who wins and at what price

FC Luzern vs FC Sion prediction for the Super League on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model calls it close, FC Luzern 38%, draw 22%, FC Sion 40%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

The goal expectancy is 3.83 in total, split 1.90 to FC Luzern and 1.93 to FC Sion. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 73% and both teams to score 73%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

FC Luzern or FC Sion (no draw) is the main selection, rated 78%. At 1.23 with 22Bet the market prices it at 81%, against 78% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on FC Luzern vs FC Sion.

Form check: FC Luzern have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 8 conceded, FC Sion 2 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 5.

FC Luzern vs FC Sion over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 90%, over 2.5 at 73%, over 3.5 at 53%; under 2.5 is 27% and under 3.5 is 47%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 73%, best priced 1.36 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 73%. FC Luzern score in 85% of simulations against a 15% clean sheet for FC Sion; FC Sion score in 86% while FC Luzern shut them out 15% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 73%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 8%, followed by 1-2 (7.7%) and 2-1 (7.6%).

With the top scoreline at 8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for FC Luzern vs FC Sion; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time FC Sion, full-time FC Sion is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 82%.

Every market for FC Luzern vs FC Sion

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for FC Luzern vs FC Sion, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

FC Luzern to win38%2.66
Draw22%3.95
FC Sion to win40%2.50
FC Luzern, draw no bet49%fair 2.04
FC Sion, draw no bet51%fair 1.96

Double chance

FC Luzern or draw61%1.59
FC Sion or draw62%1.52
FC Luzern or FC Sion (no draw)78%1.23

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals90%fair 1.12
Over 2.5 goals73%1.36
Over 3.5 goals53%fair 1.88
Over 4.5 goals34%fair 2.96
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 9.52
Under 2.5 goals27%3.00
Under 3.5 goals47%fair 2.14

BTTS

Both teams to score73%1.36
Not both teams to score27%3.21

Halves

First-half goal82%fair 1.22
Over 1.5 first-half goals51%fair 1.95
Second-half goal88%fair 1.14

Team goals

FC Luzern to score85%fair 1.18
FC Sion to score86%fair 1.17
FC Luzern clean sheet15%fair 6.90
FC Sion clean sheet15%fair 6.67
FC Luzern to win to nil13%fair 7.46
FC Sion to win to nil14%fair 7.25

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-18%
1-27.7%
2-17.6%
2-27.3%
1-34.9%
3-14.8%

Half-time / full-time

FC Sion / FC Sion24.6%
FC Luzern / FC Luzern23.8%
Draw / FC Sion12%
Draw / FC Luzern11.7%
Draw / Draw10.1%

Questions about FC Luzern vs FC Sion

Who is favourite in FC Luzern vs FC Sion?

The model gives FC Sion the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 22%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

FC Luzern vs FC Sion correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 73% backs the same picture with less variance.

FC Luzern vs FC Sion both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 73%. FC Luzern find the net in 85% of simulated matches and FC Sion in 86%.

What time does FC Luzern vs FC Sion kick off?

FC Luzern vs FC Sion starts at 19:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, FC Luzern v FC SionFC Luzern or FC Sion (no draw), 78%
1.23Bet