Segunda División
SabadellHomeDWLDL
Mon 9 Nov
Real Sociedad IIAwayLLLLW542422
Sabadell winDrawReal Sociedad II win
SabadellHomeDWLDLReal Sociedad IIAwayLLLLW- Kick-off Mon 9 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.66 1.69 : 0.97
- Favourite
- 54% Sabadell
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
54%
Our prediction
Sabadell to win
1.84fair
Double chanceSabadell or draw
79% chance1.27fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.98fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.98fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sabadell, full-time Sabadell
34% chance2.97fair
Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II prediction
Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II prediction, who wins and at what price
Sabadell host Real Sociedad II on Monday, 9 November 2026 in the Segunda División, and the model has Sabadell at 54%, the draw at 24% and Real Sociedad II at 22%: that is the Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.69 for Sabadell and 0.97 for Real Sociedad II, a total of 2.66, which puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 51%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II is sabadell to win, a 54% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
For a safer line, sabadell or draw covers 79% of outcomes.
Sabadell average 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Real Sociedad II 1.2 and 2.4 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II
On the goal lines Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II reads 74% for over 1.5, 50% for over 2.5 and 28% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 51%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%.
Both teams to score is 51%: Sabadell find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Real Sociedad II in 62%. Sabadell keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and Real Sociedad II 19%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 11.8%, followed by 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (10%).
With the top scoreline at 11.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sabadell, full-time Sabadell leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II
The grid built from 1.69 and 0.97 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Sabadell to win54%fair 1.84
Draw24%fair 4.15
Real Sociedad II to win22%fair 4.65
Sabadell, draw no bet72%fair 1.39
Real Sociedad II, draw no bet28%fair 3.53
Double chance
Sabadell or draw79%fair 1.27
Real Sociedad II or draw46%fair 2.19
Sabadell or Real Sociedad II (no draw)76%fair 1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals50%fair 2.02
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.91
Under 2.5 goals51%fair 1.98
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score51%fair 1.98
Not both teams to score50%fair 2.02
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.98
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Sabadell to score82%fair 1.23
Real Sociedad II to score62%fair 1.61
Sabadell clean sheet38%fair 2.64
Real Sociedad II clean sheet19%fair 5.41
Sabadell to win to nil35%fair 2.87
Real Sociedad II to win to nil17%fair 5.88
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-011.8%
1-111.5%
2-010%
2-19.7%
0-07%
0-16.8%
Half-time / full-time
Sabadell / Sabadell33.7%
Draw / Sabadell17.9%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Real Sociedad II / Real Sociedad II11.9%
Draw / Real Sociedad II8.3%
Questions about Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II
Who will win Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II?
The model gives Sabadell the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 50%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Sabadell find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Real Sociedad II in 62%.
What time does Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II kick off?
Kick-off is 19:30 UTC on Monday, 9 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.