LaLiga
Round 12 Friday, 6 November 2026
Kick-off
SevillaHomeDLWWL
Fri 6 Nov
AlavesAwayDLLDL502723
Sevilla winDrawAlaves win
LaLiga
Round 12 Friday, 6 November 2026
Kick-off
SevillaHomeDLWWLAlavesAwayDLLDL- Kick-off Fri 6 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.51 1.54 : 0.97
- Favourite
- 50% Sevilla
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Sevilla vs Alaves odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.48 | 4.15 | 2.28 | 1.73 | 1.93 | 1.80 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.98 | 3.36 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 1.93 | 1.80 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.92 | 3.35 | 4.10 | 2.18 | 1.66 | 1.91 | 1.80 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.05 | 3.49 | 4.15 | 2.28 | 1.73 | 1.93 | 1.80 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.05 | 3.49 | 4.15 | 2.28 | 1.73 | 1.93 | 1.80 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.87 | 3.40 | 4.10 | 2.10 | 1.66 | 1.94 | 1.74 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sevilla to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Sevilla vs Alaves prediction: Sevilla 2.05 (Melbet), draw 3.49 (Melbet), Alaves 4.15 (Melbet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 98.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.28 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.73 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.94 (Stake) and no 1.80 (BC.Game).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
50%
Our prediction
Sevilla to win
Double chanceSevilla or draw
77% chance1.29
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.73
BTTSNot both teams to score
50% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.40fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sevilla, full-time Sevilla
31% chance3.25fair
Sevilla vs Alaves prediction
Sevilla vs Alaves prediction and best bet
Sevilla are a narrow favourite in the Sevilla vs Alaves prediction, rated 50% to win this LaLiga match on Friday, 6 November 2026. Alaves sit at 23% and the draw at 27%.
The goal expectancy is 2.51 in total, split 1.54 to Sevilla and 0.97 to Alaves. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 50%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Sevilla vs Alaves is sevilla to win, a 50% chance. The best price in our comparison is 2.05 at Melbet, which implies 49%, so the model sits 1 points above the market.
For a safer line, sevilla or draw covers 77% of outcomes at 1.29.
Form check: Sevilla have won 2 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 10 conceded, Alaves 0 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 11.
Sevilla vs Alaves goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 72%, over 2.5 at 46%, over 3.5 at 25%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; Melbet pay 1.73.
Both teams to score is 50%: Sevilla find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Alaves in 62%. Sevilla keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and Alaves 21%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sevilla vs Alaves: 1-0 (12.5%), 1-1 (12.1%) and 2-0 (9.6%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Sevilla, full-time Sevilla is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
All markets, Sevilla vs Alaves
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 50% / 27% / 23% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Sevilla to win50%2.05
Draw27%3.49
Alaves to win23%4.15
Sevilla, draw no bet68%fair 1.46
Alaves, draw no bet32%fair 3.15
Double chance
Sevilla or draw77%1.29
Alaves or draw50%1.89
Sevilla or Alaves (no draw)73%1.37
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.40
Over 2.5 goals46%2.28
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.08
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.09
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.51
Under 2.5 goals55%1.73
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.94
Not both teams to score50%1.80
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.21
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Sevilla to score79%fair 1.27
Alaves to score62%fair 1.61
Sevilla clean sheet38%fair 2.64
Alaves clean sheet21%fair 4.67
Sevilla to win to nil35%fair 2.87
Alaves to win to nil20%fair 5.08
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-012.5%
1-112.1%
2-09.6%
2-19.3%
0-08.1%
0-17.9%
Half-time / full-time
Sevilla / Sevilla30.8%
Draw / Sevilla17.4%
Draw / Draw16.2%
Alaves / Alaves13.2%
Draw / Alaves9.3%
Questions about Sevilla vs Alaves
Who will win Sevilla vs Alaves?
The model gives Sevilla the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 27%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Sevilla vs Alaves?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 46%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Sevilla vs Alaves?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Sevilla find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Alaves in 62%.
When is Sevilla vs Alaves and where is the result shown?
Sevilla vs Alaves starts at 20:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.